-- German equities fell on Tuesday, with the blue-chip DAX index ending the trading session 0.60% in the red, as the market digested the latest economic sentiment survey for the eurozone's biggest economy and updates regarding potential US-Iran truce talks.
The ZEW economic sentiment indicator for Germany tumbled to -17.2 points in April from March's -0.5 point, missing the consensus estimate of -6.7 points. The current situation index also fell by -10.8 points to -73.7 points, slightly behind the expected -70 points.
"Economic expectations are slipping into negative territory. The economic consequences of the Iran war for the German economy go far beyond price increases: Businesses are concerned about long-term shortages of energy supply, and this discourages investment and weakens the effect of government stimuli," ZEW President Achim Wambach said.
Speaking of the Middle East conflict, Reuters reported, citing a Pakistani source, that momentum is building for talks to resume on Wednesday between the US and Iran, with US Vice President JD Vance expected in Islamabad. The news outlet noted comments from Tehran stating it was "positively reviewing" participation while continuing to demand the recognition of its right to enrich uranium and an end to the naval blockade of its ports, among other conditions.
In corporate news, Beiersdorf (BEI.F) was one of the blue-chip index's top losers, falling 2.97%, after posting lower-than-expected first-quarter sales amid headwinds across its core brand and luxury portfolio. The German personal care products manufacturer's sales for the three months ended March 31 decreased by 4.6% on an organic basis to 2.48 billion euros, compared with FactSet-compiled consensus of 2.56 billion euros.
Meanwhile, Berenberg forecasts a "surprisingly good, if volatile, 2026" for BASF (BAS.F), though it cautions that this "overdue good fortune" is already baked into the share price. Consequently, the research firm maintained its hold rating while nudging its price target up to 51 euros from 48 euros.
"This report is the first time in years where we have substantially raised earnings forecasts for BASF. After a decade of struggling to adapt to oversupply in the chemicals sector, the most substantive pieces of news over the last six months have all been positive. Against the backdrop of domestic German stimulus, shares have responded well to: i) potential political relief on carbon taxation and select anti-dumping investigations; and ii) increases in chemicals prices caused by Iran-conflict-induced feedstock shortages at Asian peers. We are unsure of the longevity of ii, but the self-help measures, including the sale of coatings for EUR8.7bn (13x EV/EBITDA), have left the company quite well-placed to enjoy the upswing," Berenberg said. The German chemicals company gained 1.12% at the end of the trading day.