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FINWIRES

CIBCは、Inspire 2026カンファレンス後、Docebo株の「アウトパフォーム」評価と目標株価28米ドルを維持した。

-- CIBCキャピタル・マーケッツは、マイアミで開催されたDocebo(DCBO.TO、DCBO)の年次ユーザーカンファレンス「Inspire」後、同社の株式に対する投資判断を「アウトパフォーム」に据え置き、目標株価を28.00米ドルに維持した。 同行は、Doceboがカンファレンスにおいて、予想を上回る第1四半期の暫定業績見通しを発表し、2026年の業績見通しを引き上げたほか、コアプラットフォームの複数の機能強化とAI対応製品のリリースを発表したことを指摘した。同行は、業績見通しの上方修正は、基幹事業であるエンタープライズ事業の好調に直接起因するものであり、第1四半期に締結された100万ドルを超えるエンタープライズ事業拡大契約2件が含まれると考えている。 「カンファレンス全体を通して、堅調な年間経常収益(ARR)の成長と、エンタープライズ事業に重点を置いた新たな市場開拓戦略および製品戦略、そして継続的なプラットフォーム改善に支えられ、2026年度の業績見通し(上方修正)に対する確信がさらに強まった」と、アナリストのエリン・カイル氏は述べた。 「当社は引き続き、株価は魅力的な水準にあると見ています。2027年予想EV/EBITDA倍率は7.3倍、EV/売上高倍率は1.6倍で取引されており、これは小型SaaS企業の同業他社(それぞれ約8倍、約2倍)と比較して割安です。」 CIBCは、年間経常収益(ARR)の二桁成長が、基盤事業の成長によって引き続き支えられると予想しています。Dayforceの解約による影響は徐々に減少するものの、365Talents事業のARRが年後半にかけて高い二桁成長を遂げることで相殺されると見込んでいます。予想を上回る第1四半期の業績を反映して業績予想を修正し、連結売上高、サブスクリプション売上高、調整後EBITDAの通期ガイダンスを引き上げました。 2026年度について、CIBCはサブスクリプション売上高の成長率を11%、調整後EBITDAマージンを20.3%と予測しています。同社はまた、2027年度の調整後EBITDA予想を引き上げ、利益率を22.2%と予測している。 「AIを社内で活用することで、一般管理費と販売費における営業レバレッジが継続的に向上し、利益率の拡大が見込まれる」とカイル氏は付け加えた。

Price: $24.24, Change: $-2.00, Percent Change: -7.62%

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