-- モントリオール銀行(BMO)によると、前年同月比の比較は、昨春の関税導入に伴う需要前倒しの影響が依然として残っているものの、米国の小型車販売台数は4月に前年同月比5.7%減となった。 BMOは、季節調整済み年率換算(SAAR)ベースでは販売台数は1,610万台となり、ガソリン価格の高騰が続く中でも需要は堅調に推移していると指摘した。 5月初旬のガソリン価格は1ガロンあたり4.46ドルで、前月比30セント以上上昇。1日あたりの給油量は約3億7,500万ガロン。BMOの試算によると、消費者は前月比で1日あたり約1億3,000万ドル多くガソリンを消費している。 BMOは、燃料価格が高止まりすれば、今後数ヶ月で運転コストの上昇が裁量支出と自動車需要に重くのしかかるリスクがあると警告した。 BMOは、カナダの新車販売台数も4月に減少したと指摘。前年同月比の減少は、依然として関税引き上げによるベース効果の影響を受けている。販売台数は年率換算で181万台に落ち込み、販売台数は前年同月比3.9%減となった。 BMOは、貿易をめぐる不確実性やガソリン価格が過去最高水準に近いにもかかわらず、市場は予想以上に持ちこたえていると付け加えた。カナダのレギュラーガソリン価格は5月初旬に平均1リットルあたり1.94ドルとなり、9月まで連邦物品税が一時停止されたこと(1リットルあたり10セント)を受けて、前月比で約5セント上昇した。 BMOによると、注目すべきトレンドの一つは、より安価なゼロエミッション車(ZEV)の供給が改善するにつれて、今年後半にZEVの販売が再び加速するかどうかだ。カナダのZEV販売は2月下旬と3月に好調だったが、4月にはやや鈍化した。
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