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B. Riley在第一季票房超出預期後,上調了2026年票房預期。

-- B. Riley Securities週五表示,受第一季票房表現優於預期的影響,今年美國票房收入預計將高於先前預期。 今年前三個月,美國電影票房收入約17.4億美元,年增22%,高於該券商先前預測的15.9億美元。 B. Riley指出,這一業績反映了1月份14%的增長,2月份“持平”,以及3月份“穩健”的增長,其中3月份的增長得益於亞馬遜(AMZN)旗下米高梅發行的電影《Project Hail Mary》的商業成功。 B. Riley分析師Drew Crum在給客戶的報告中表示,派拉蒙天空之舞(PSKY)的《驚聲尖叫7》(Scream 7)、迪士尼(DIS)的《跳躍者》(Hoppers)以及華納兄弟探索頻道(WBD)的《呼嘯山莊》(Wuthering Heights)也為第一季度的超預期表現做出了貢獻。 該券商目前預計2026年美國國內票房收入將達到95.5億美元,高於先前預期的94億美元,並指出第一季的優異表現「是此次上調的關鍵驅動因素」。 Crum表示,第一季的國內票房「在經歷了動盪的(2025年下半年)之後,為市場帶來了一些急需的信心,而且這種增長勢頭延續到了(第二季度)初期」。 B. Riley重申了對本季(前三個月)美國票房收入的預測,為27億美元,年增1%。該券商預計第三季和第四季的票房收入分別為27億美元和24億美元。 Crum表示:“票房趨勢的改善可能會帶來季度業績超預期、預測上調,進而推高估值倍數。” “對2026-2027年度影片的普遍樂觀情緒、窗口期安排的進一步進展,以及好萊塢工會勞資談判的積極進展,也可能提振市場情緒。” 該券商將AMC娛樂公司(AMC)的股票目標價從1.50美元上調至2美元,將Cinemark(CNK)的股票目標價從30美元上調至34美元,評級維持中性。該券商繼續維持對IMAX(IMAX)股票的買入評級。

Price: $1.90, Change: $+0.29, Percent Change: +17.70%

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