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B. Riley在第一季度票房超出预期后,上调了2026年票房预期。

-- B. Riley Securities周五表示,受第一季度票房表现好于预期的影响,今年美国票房收入预计将高于此前预期。 今年前三个月,美国电影票房收入约为17.4亿美元,同比增长22%,高于该券商此前预测的15.9亿美元。B. Riley指出,这一业绩反映了1月份14%的增长,2月份“持平”,以及3月份“稳健”的增长,其中3月份的增长得益于亚马逊(AMZN)旗下米高梅发行的电影《Project Hail Mary》的商业成功。 B. Riley分析师Drew Crum在给客户的报告中表示,派拉蒙天空之舞(PSKY)的《惊声尖叫7》(Scream 7)、迪士尼(DIS)的《跳跃者》(Hoppers)以及华纳兄弟探索频道(WBD)的《呼啸山庄》(Wuthering Heights)也为第一季度的超预期表现做出了贡献。 该券商目前预计2026年美国国内票房收入将达到95.5亿美元,高于此前预期的94亿美元,并指出第一季度的优异表现“是此次上调的关键驱动因素”。 Crum表示,第一季度的国内票房“在经历了动荡的(2025年下半年)之后,为市场带来了一些急需的信心,而且这种增长势头延续到了(第二季度)初期”。 B. Riley重申了其对本季度(前三个月)美国票房收入的预测,为27亿美元,同比增长1%。该券商预计第三季度和第四季度的票房收入分别为27亿美元和24亿美元。 Crum表示:“票房趋势的改善可能会带来季度业绩超预期、预测上调,进而推高估值倍数。” “对2026-2027年度影片的普遍乐观情绪、窗口期安排的进一步进展,以及好莱坞工会劳资谈判的积极进展,也可能提振市场情绪。” 该券商将AMC娱乐公司(AMC)的股票目标价从1.50美元上调至2美元,将Cinemark(CNK)的股票目标价从30美元上调至34美元,评级维持中性。该券商继续维持对IMAX(IMAX)股票的买入评级。

Price: $1.90, Change: $+0.29, Percent Change: +17.70%

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