-- マッコーリー証券のストラテジストは火曜日に発表した週報で、米エネルギー情報局(EIA)が発表する4月17日までの週の米原油在庫統計は、前週の90万バレル増に続き、220万バレル増になると予測していると述べた。 原油処理量は、前週の減少を受けて、日量約10万バレル減少すると予測されている。季節的なメンテナンスは依然として変動要因であり、定期メンテナンスのタイミングが週次在庫バランスに引き続き変動をもたらしている。 原油輸出量は日量約20万バレル減少すると予測される一方、輸入量は日量80万バレル増加すると見込まれている。 「貨物の出荷タイミングは、週次原油在庫バランスにおける潜在的な変動要因であり続ける」とマッコーリー証券のストラテジストは述べている。 マッコーリーは、4月17日までの週の国内供給量(生産量、調整量、移送量を含む)が日量70万バレル減少する一方、戦略石油備蓄(SPR)の在庫は420万バレル減少すると予測した。 石油製品に関しては、ガソリン在庫は350万バレル、留出油在庫は300万バレル減少すると予測され、ジェット燃料在庫はほぼ横ばいで、約10万バレルのわずかな増加にとどまると見込まれている。 マッコーリーは、ガソリン、留出油、ジェット燃料を合わせた需要量を日量約1450万バレルと予測している。
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