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FINWIRES

German Shares Down as US-Iran Tensions Reignite

-- Germany's blue-chip DAX index reversed last week's winning streak, closing 1.04% in the red on Monday, amid renewed friction between the US and Iran.

A US naval interception of an Iranian cargo ship on Monday triggered a vow of retaliation from Tehran, which also reinstated restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend amid the US' continued blockade of Iranian ports. As Tuesday's ceasefire expiration looms, Iran threatened to boycott the anticipated second round of negotiations, demanding an immediate end to the closure of its ports as a prerequisite for talks.

"Oil prices rebounded, with Brent crude trading at USD 95 [per barrel] this morning, as the market digested the turmoil around the Strait of Hormuz. The market is likely to stay volatile this week as US and Iran will try and negotiate a deal. If oil does not start flowing through the strait soon, oil prices are likely to rise further and above USD 100/bbl again," Danske Bank said.

In local economic news, Destatis reported that producer prices ticked down 0.2% year over year in March, compared with a 3.3% decline earlier. The German Federal Statistical Office attributed the year-on-year decline to energy price adjustments. On a monthly basis, the index was up 2.5% in March 2026, marking the biggest month-over-month rise in producer prices since August 2022.

On the corporate side, Commerzbank (CBK.F) shares moved 1.33% higher, as significant shareholder UniCredit unveiled a value-creation plan for the German bank. Seeking to boost 2028 net profit to 5.1 billion euros, versus Commerzbank's 4.5 billion-euro goal, UniCredit urged a faster transformation, claiming the current management is "insufficiently prepared" for future challenges and too focused on short-term delivery.

Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank Research trimmed buy-rated SAP's (SAP.F) price target to 200 euros from 220 euros, as part of a report focused on the European software and information technology services sector. The German software company was the DAX's second-biggest loser during the session, shedding 3.28%.

"The European and global Software sector has seen some recovery of share prices over the last days which we see as a result of very negative positioning going into earnings season. While this is somewhat of a relief following the derating of the last months, we retain our selective approach and overall more cautious stance on the space. We expect new releases of OpenAI, Google and other models during Q2, which represent further headline risks to the sector, while established Software companies need to transform themselves (further) in order to deliver maximum value from AI solutions to their customers in a rapidly evolving technology landscape. Lastly, geopolitical and macro headwinds from the war in Iran are likely to impact also Enterprise customer confidence as we have seen when Russia attacked Ukraine or during the 2025 'trade war,'" the research firm said.

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Australia

Intel Poised for 'Slight Beat' Amid Solid Server CPU Demand, RBC Says

Intel (INTC) is expected to report a "slight beat" in its fiscal first-quarter results amid robust server central processing unit demand, RBC Capital Markets said in a note e-mailed Tuesday.On Thursday, the chipmaker is likely to post adjusted per-share earnings and revenue above RBC's projections for breakeven and $12.20 billion, respectively, for the March quarter, according to the brokerage. The current consensus on FactSet is for non-GAAP EPS of $0.02 and sales of $12.42 billion."We expect a slight beat/raise driven by strong server CPU demand," RBC analyst Srini Pajjuri said. "(Personal computer) market also appears to be holding up for now."First-quarter revenue in the company's data center and artificial intelligence segment is pegged at $4.3 billion, representing a 3% annual gain, with room for potential upside, according to RBC."While demand remains strong, management expected internal wafer supply constraints to be most acute in (the first quarter) which could limit near-term upside," Pajjuri wrote. "Recent media reports point to Intel raising prices which should help."For the current quarter, RBC expects Intel to issue an outlook above Wall Street's estimates of $13.1 billion in revenue and adjusted EPS of $0.09, driven by server CPU demand and improving wafer supply.The data center and AI business is projected to see sequential growth of 10% in the second quarter, with RBC seeing potential upside amid improving supply and healthy pricing. The brokerage expects server demand to continue to benefit from agentic AI and sees industry supply remaining "tight" through 2026, it said in the note.RBC maintained its sector perform rating on Intel's stock with a $48 price target.The company's shares were up 0.3% in Tuesday afternoon trade, bringing its year-to-gains to nearly 79%.Last year, the US government agreed to invest $8.9 billion in Intel's common stock as part of a deal to secure a stake in the company. Separately, Nvidia (NVDA) agreed to inject $5 billion in Intel under a collaboration that aims to develop new data center and PC chips.Price: $66.04, Change: $+0.34, Percent Change: +0.52%

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Australia

Scholastic Reports Preliminary Results of Dutch Auction Tender Offer

Scholastic (SCHL) on Tuesday announced preliminary results from its modified Dutch auction tender offer, which closed on Monday.The company said that shareholders tendered a total of about 2.85 million shares at or below the $40 per share purchase price, including about 1 million shares that were tendered by notice of guaranteed delivery.Based on the preliminary count, Scholastic expects to purchase all properly tendered shares at $40 each, for a total cost of about $114.1 million, excluding fees and expenses, it added.The company said that following completion of the offer, it expects nearly 17.9 million shares to remain outstanding, representing a reduction of about 13.7% in its share count.Shares of Scholastic rose 2.3% in the session.Price: $40.69, Change: $+0.93, Percent Change: +2.34%

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Sectors

Sector Update: Financial

Financial stocks were declining in Tuesday afternoon trading, with the NYSE Financial Index decreasing 0.7% and the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) off 0.6%.The Philadelphia Housing Index was adding 0.6%, and the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) fell 1.8%.Bitcoin (BTC-USD) was decreasing 0.9% to $75,117, and the yield for 10-year US Treasuries was rising 5 basis points to 4.30%.In corporate news, Coinbase (COIN) and Gemini Titan have been sued by New York Attorney General Letitia James for allegedly violating the state laws against against illegal gambling with their prediction markets, Reuters reported, citing complaints filed in a state court in Manhattan. Coinbase shares fell nearly 7%.

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