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FINWIRES

US Dollar Rises Early Monday; Focus on Existing Home Sales, Beige Book, IMF Meetings This Week

-- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Monday ahead of the release of existing home sales data for March at 10:00 am ET and an appearance by Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran at 6:20 pm ET.

Tuesday's highlights include data on small business sentiment and producer prices.

Import and export price data, the first look at manufacturing data for April, and the Federal Reserve's Beige Book are the key releases on Wednesday.

Weekly jobless claims, the first services data for April, and industrial production data for March are the main points on Thursday.

Friday's schedule is light, with only the St. Louis Fed's GDP nowcast estimate for Q1.

The International Monetary Fund is holding its annual meetings this week, so comments by Fed officials and representatives of other central banks will be frequent.

A quick summary of foreign exchange activity heading into Monday:

EUR/USD fell to 1.1700 from 1.1729 at the Friday US close and 1.1713 at the same time Friday morning. There are no Eurozone data on Monday's schedule, but European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos is due to speak at 8:15 am ET. The next European Central Bank meeting is scheduled for April 30.

GBP/USD fell to 1.3439 from 1.3469 at the Friday US close and 1.3440 at the same time Friday morning. UK same-store sales data for March are due to be released at 7:01 pm ET on Monday evening. The next Bank of England meeting is scheduled for April 30.

USD/JPY rose to 159.6931 from 159.3031 at the Friday US close and 159.2051 at the same time Friday morning. Japanese money stock growth accelerated in March, according to data released overnight. The next Bank of Japan meeting is scheduled for April 27-28.

USD/CAD rose to 1.3837 from 1.3835 at the Friday US close and 1.3831 at the same time Friday morning. Canadian building permits data for February are due to be released at 8:30 am ET. The next Bank of Canada meeting is scheduled for April 29.

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Research Alert: Ewbc: Q1 Earnings Beat As Revenue Growth Outperforms

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:EWBC posted strong Q1 2026 results with operating EPS of $2.57 vs. $2.08 a year ago, $0.10 above consensus. Q1 revenue of $774M beat consensus by 3% and rose 12% Y/Y and 2% Q/Q. It was another record quarter as the bank reported record levels of loans, deposits, and fee income, while maintaining healthy credit quality. Net interest income outperformed with 2% Q/Q growth while the net interest margin improved 8 bps to 3.49%, driven by a 21-bp decline in deposit costs to 2.84% that more than offset a 9-bp decrease in loan yields. Balance sheet growth remained robust with total loans reaching a record $58B (+2% Q/Q, +7% Y/Y) and deposits hitting $69B (+3% Q/Q, +9% Y/Y). Loan growth was well diversified across commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, and residential mortgage portfolios. Fee income surged 13% Q/Q to record levels, with wealth management fees more than doubling. The bank's funding optimization efforts continued to bear fruit in the competitive environment.

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Oil & Energy

Hormuz Disruptions Deepen as Oil Prices Rebound and Recovery Timelines Slip, Wood Mackenzie Says

Strait of Hormuz flows remain sharply constrained, with vessel traffic far below normal 170 daily levels and energy markets reacting to ongoing disruption, Wood Mackenzie said Tuesday.Wood Mackenzie said the waterway remains effectively restricted despite ceasefire signals, with uncertainty over safe passage continuing to deter shipping activity.Although the US and Iran are moving toward renewed talks, both sides remain far apart on terms, raising the risk of prolonged disruption to Gulf energy exports.A two-week ceasefire announced on April 7 and a subsequent 10-day pause in Lebanon had briefly lifted optimism around easing tensions, Wood Mackenzie added.However, two Indian vessels were forced to turn back over the weekend after coming under fire while attempting to transit the strait, underscoring ongoing risks.Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps warned ships against moving in the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman, saying, "approaching the Strait of Hormuz will be considered co-operation with the enemy."Traffic had risen modestly after the ceasefire, with about 20 vessels transiting daily, but this remains far below the roughly 170 ships seen in February, according to Wood Mackenzie.That limited recovery has reversed, with minimal vessel movement recorded on Sunday, signaling continued disruption across oil, gas, and chemicals markets.Oil prices initially fell after the ceasefire, with Brent dropping about 14% from around $110 to below $95 per barrel, and later reaching just above $86, according to the report.Prices rebounded, with Brent June futures rising about 5% to around $95 per barrel, while European gas prices climbed to 61.5 euros ($72.21) per megawatt hour before easing to 40 euros.The United States has tightened its blockade, seizing a cargo vessel and increasing pressure on Iran-linked shipping, while both sides exchanged sharper rhetoric over the weekend, Wood Mackenzie said.Tasnim, a media outlet affiliated with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, identified several locations that could "enter the conflict zone" if hostilities resume, including the Bab al Mandeb Strait.It also named Saudi Aramco assets and key oil terminals in Yanbu and Fujairah, which serve as alternative routes bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, Wood Mackenzie added.Wood Mackenzie said a peace deal could allow some tankers to resume movement quickly, but full restoration of normal traffic through the Strait of Hormuz may take until the end of June, citing Alan Gelder, senior vice president.Liquefied natural gas exports could see an initial surge after a peace deal, but a full return to normal operations would take longer, Wood Mackenzie said.Massimo Di Odoardo at Wood Mackenzie said restarting Qatar's LNG output could take three to four weeks for the South complex, while recovery of northern facilities would require a longer timeframe.Rising tensions between the United States and Iran have cast doubt on recovery timelines, with prolonged disruption in the Strait of Hormuz threatening deeper imbalances in global energy markets, Wood Mackenzie said.Brent crude has averaged about $85 per barrel in 2026, warning that prices near $90 could push global growth below 2% and into recession territory, said Peter Martin at Wood Mackenzie.

Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Buy Rating On Shares Of Quest Diagnostics

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We keep our 12-month price target at $235. This is based on a forward P/E of 21.9x our 2026 EPS estimate, a premium to DGX's three-year forward average of 16.8x due to our view of strengthening sales and earnings growth, backed by higher health care utilization trends and some regulatory relief due to postponement of lab reimbursement cuts until at least 2027. We think lab testing providers remain a relatively well-positioned area within health care given lower policy risks, supportive testing demand, and attractive earnings growth potential. On a compounded annual basis from 2025-2028, we expect near 8% EPS growth, raising our 2026 EPS to $10.73 from $10.60 and 2027 EPS to $11.50 from $11.42. We also anticipate additional smaller M&A opportunities, along with healthy dividend increases (recent 7.5% boost; shares yield 1.7%) as cash flow generation remains supportive over the near term.

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