-- 密歇根大学周五公布的初步调查显示,美国消费者信心指数本月跌至历史新低,反映出消费者对物价上涨以及中东冲突带来的整体经济影响的担忧加剧。 BMO资本市场在一份报告中指出,4月份主要消费者信心指数较3月份暴跌约11%,至47.6,创历史新低。 彭博社的调查显示,华尔街此前预期该指数为51.5。密歇根大学报告称,本月消费者信心指数同比下降8.8%。 这项调查基本完成于周二美伊宣布停火两周之前。此前,冲突已蔓延至整个海湾地区,导致货物运输中断,引发物价飙升。 目前看来,停火协议似乎仍在维持,预计华盛顿和德黑兰的官员将于周六在促成停火的巴基斯坦举行会晤。 “各年龄段、收入水平和政党的消费者信心均出现下滑,指数的每个组成部分也同样如此,这反映出本月经济下滑的普遍性,”消费者调查主任乔安妮·许在一份声明中表示。“随着消费者对伊朗冲突造成的供应中断结束以及汽油价格回落的信心增强,经济预期可能会有所改善。” 美国劳工统计局周五公布的数据显示,受中东冲突导致能源价格大幅上涨的影响,美国3月份消费者通胀率飙升至近四年来的最高月度水平。数据显示,3月份能源价格环比增长约11%,其中汽油价格飙升21%,占整体涨幅的近四分之三。 密歇根大学的调查显示,未来一年的通胀预期从3月份的3.8%升至本月的4.8%,为6月份以来的最高水平。五年通胀预期也升至3.4%。 衡量当前经济状况的指标环比下跌10%至50.1,而预期经济状况指标下跌近11%至46.1。 许先生表示:“耐用品和汽车的购买环境恶化,主要原因是价格高企。开放式评论显示,许多消费者将经济的不利变化归咎于伊朗冲突。”
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