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德国DAX指数变化不大;3月份德国通胀率创两年新高

-- 蓝筹股DAX指数周五收盘下跌0.01%,与前一日持平,市场关注的焦点是即将举行的美伊谈判。 以色列表示愿意与黎巴嫩进行对话后,人们对地区局势降温以及霍尔木兹海峡重新开放的希望有所增加。德黑兰方面一直强调,以色列在黎巴嫩持续进行的军事行动是其与华盛顿达成更广泛停火协议的主要障碍。美伊将于周六在巴基斯坦举行备受瞩目的谈判。 在德国国内经济新闻方面,德国联邦统计局(Destatis)在其最终数据中确认,德国2026年3月的年通胀率将从此前公布的1.9%加速至2.7%,创下自2024年1月以来的最高水平。剔除食品和能源价格的核心通胀率维持在2.5%不变。 “能源产品价格的大幅上涨推高了通货膨胀。特别是自伊朗战争爆发以来,消费者的车用燃油和取暖油价格都大幅上涨,”德国联邦统计局局长露丝·布兰德表示。 根据ifo经济研究所最新的商业调查,中东冲突也对德国旅游业造成了冲击。ifo旅游机构和旅行社的商业景气指数从-14.8点暴跌至-41.7点,反映出人们对当前形势和未来预期更加悲观。 此外,ifo指出,由于燃油成本上涨,越来越多的旅行社和旅行社预计未来几个月旅游服务成本将会上升。“随着时间的推移,通货膨胀率的上升可能会给许多度假者的旅行预算带来压力,”行业专家帕特里克·霍普纳表示。 在企业方面,诺德克斯公司(NDX1.F)获得了西班牙一个未公开的风电场项目的订单,将为其提供13台N175/6.X型风力涡轮机。该交易初始装机容量为 80 兆瓦,并可选择将总装机容量扩大至 120 兆瓦。德国风力涡轮机制造商西门子在 Xetra 交易所的股价在当日收盘时下跌了 0.39%。 与此同时,受台湾芯片制造商台积电第一季度营收超出预期(主要得益于人工智能相关需求的增长)的提振,西门子 (SIE.F) 和英飞凌科技 (IFX.F) 成为 DAX 指数表现最佳的股票之一,分别上涨了 1.32% 和 1.03%。

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Petro Rabigh Emerges From Loss in Q1; Revenue Grows

Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, said Sunday it swung back to profit in the first quarter of 2026, while revenue increased year over year.Net profit attributable to shareholders of the issuer for the three months ended March 31 was 1.47 billion Saudi riyals, compared with the attributable loss of 691 million riyals earlier. EPS moved to 0.88 riyal from a loss per share of 0.41 riyal.The Tadawul-listed oil refining and petrochemical company's revenue was 14.85 billion riyals, compared with 11.21 billion riyals a year ago.

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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Buy Opinion On Shares Of The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We trim our 12-month target price by $8 to $155, valuing HIG shares at 11.3x our 2026 operating EPS estimate of $13.75 (cut by $0.45) and at 10.6x our 2027 EPS estimate of $14.65 (cut by $0.30), vs. the shares' one-year average forward multiple of 10.3x and peer average of 13x. Q1 EPS of $3.09 vs. $2.20 a year ago missed our $3.60 estimate and $3.39 consensus view. Operating revenue growth of 6.2% was in line with our 6%-10% forecast, amid 5.3% earned premium growth, 13% higher net investment income, and 7.9% fee revenue growth. Q1 written premium growth of 4% and full-year 2025 growth of 7% bode well for 2026 revenue trends as premiums are earned. Underwriting results improved significantly, with Personal Lines combined ratio improving to 87.7% from 106.1% and underlying combined ratio to 85.0% from 89.7%. Business Insurance combined ratio was stable at 94.8%. Weighing the Q1 EPS miss with HIG's decent top-line growth and discounted valuation to peers, we view the shares as undervalued.

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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Strong Buy Opinion On Shares Of Baker Hughes

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our 12-month target price by $14 to $82, reflecting a combination of our sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) and DCF models. For our SOTP model, we presume the oilfield services business (about 50% of BKR's franchise) to be valued at about 10x projected 2027 EBITDA (in line with major peers) and its industrial energy technology business (the other 50%) valued at 14x projected 2027 EBITDA (in line with the peer median). This blended approach, yielding a 12x multiple, implies a value of $73 per share. Meanwhile, our DCF model, using medium-term free cash flow growth of 5% per year, terminal growth of 2.5%, discounted at a WACC of 6.3%, yields intrinsic value of $91 per share. We cut our 2026 EPS estimate by $0.47 to $2.48, but we raise 2027's by $0.07 to $3.24. We acknowledge that the oilfield services business is likely to struggle in 2026 owing to the U.S.-Iran conflict, but the IET business appears quite robust and likely to be a source of both accelerating revenue growth and margins.

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