-- 蒙特利爾銀行(BMO)在各省預算季結束後、渥太華年中預算更新發布前,對加拿大的財政狀況進行了分析。 該銀行指出,目前所有這一切都發生在油價高達每桶100美元的大背景下。 兩個主要的產油省份在伊朗衝突及其引發的油價飆升之前就已確定了預算,而預算假設現在看來非常“保守”,BMO表示。 阿爾伯塔省假設本財年西德州中質原油(WTI)價格為每桶60.50美元,薩斯喀徹溫省為每桶59.80美元,而紐芬蘭和拉布拉多省的預算尚未提交。 以目前的WTI價格、輕重油價差以及加元匯率,該銀行預計僅這兩個省份的財政收入就可能增加200億加元以上,從而使這兩個省份的財政收入都大幅回升至盈餘水平。 BMO認為,高油價只會加劇加拿大各地區在經濟和財政表現上的差距。其中,財政方面的影響或許最為顯著。
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