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道明銀行表示,加拿大各省今年的預算增加,但仍低於歷史水準。

-- 道明銀行(TD)表示,加拿大今年各省公佈的預算案顯示,2026/27財年的總赤字約為國內生產毛額(GDP)的1.4%,較去年惡化,但以歷史標準衡量仍屬溫和。 道明銀行在致客戶的報告中指出,各省的淨債務佔GDP的比率預計將進一步攀升。 道明銀行指出,近期能源價格上漲使短期財政風險傾向改善預算狀況,尤其是對大宗商品生產省份而言。 道明銀行表示,資本支出仍然是財政計畫的核心支柱,為短期經濟成長提供支撐,但也加劇了大多數地區的中期債務和償債壓力。 道明銀行補充道,新的政策措施被刻意限制,重點放在可負擔性、住房和核心服務。在一定程度上,有針對性的支持將有助於提振國內經濟活動,從而可能抵消外部衝擊對實際成長的下行風險。 世界銀行指出,本季各省的預算反映出財政空間趨緊,多數省政府選擇採取漸進式、有針對性的措施,而非大規模的新支出。預計未來幾年赤字仍將持續存在,儘管油價衝擊使大宗商品省份的財政狀況有所好轉,但同時也使能源進口省份的前景更加複雜,因為持續的赤字和高企的債務負擔使得這些省份的財政狀況更容易受到負面經濟衝擊的影響。

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