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道明經濟研究所表示,加拿大利率前景面臨的風險仍取決於中東衝突的走向。

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-- 正如預期,加拿大央行“維持利率不變”,將政策利率維持在2.25%,與去年10月以來的水平持平。道明經濟部周三指出。 道明在分析加拿大央行今日最新政策的關鍵影響時指出,隨著能源衝擊逐漸蔓延至整個經濟,通膨數據預計將會上升。但道明也指出,由於近期核心通膨指標一直處於目標區間內,且勞動市場依然疲軟,因此通膨「起點良好」。道明表示,這些因素支撐了通膨的溫和基線,也預示著加拿大央行將面臨風險。 TD補充說:「從我們的角度來看,前景只是逐步轉變。波士頓銀行的調查顯示企業信心略有回升,但企業前景依然非常不明朗。令人擔憂的是能源價格的走勢。我們(與加拿大央行一樣)預計能源價格將在本季度達到峰值並逐步回落,從而緩解通脹壓力,並使加拿大央行能夠維持在中性區間的下限,並且面臨的前景。

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