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贝莱德表示,伊朗战争的不确定性并未影响美国企业盈利增长预期。

-- 贝莱德投资研究所周一发布的一份报告指出,尽管伊朗战争带来不确定性,但美国企业盈利增长预期似乎并未受到影响,市场押注其业绩将强于战前预期。 贝莱德将美国股票评级从“中性”上调至“增持”,称中东冲突可能造成的经济损失有限。 贝莱德投资研究所负责人让·博万表示,尽管霍尔木兹海峡的航运仍然受到干扰,但仍有一些因素支持投资者提高风险承受能力。这些因素包括对2026年盈利增长的预期增强。 市场预计今年美国企业盈利将增长18.7%,高于年初和战前水平。 贝莱德的报告显示,科技股的估值溢价面临压力,但预计该行业2026年的盈利增长率将达到43%,高于去年的26%。博万表示:“这些利好因素在一定程度上促使我们上调对美国股票的评级。”博伊文表示:“我们目前对风险持温和乐观态度,并相对偏好美股,认为即使其绝对表现不尽如人意,也能更好地抵御风险。” 贝莱德投资研究所表示,美伊谈判破裂可能引发市场波动,但双方的谈判意愿凸显了结束冲突的经济动力。 华盛顿和德黑兰周末在巴基斯坦举行的谈判未能达成协议,加剧了人们对双方本已脆弱的停火协议能否持久的担忧。美国军方于美国东部时间周一上午10点开始封锁进出伊朗港口的船只。

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