-- 貝萊德投資研究所週一發布的一份報告指出,儘管伊朗戰爭帶來不確定性,但美國企業獲利成長預期似乎並未受到影響,市場押注其績效將強於戰前預期。 貝萊德將美國股票評級從“中性”上調至“增持”,並表示中東衝突可能造成的經濟損失有限。 貝萊德投資研究所負責人讓·博萬表示,儘管霍爾木茲海峽的航運仍然受到干擾,但仍有一些因素支持投資者提高風險承受能力。這些因素包括對2026年獲利成長的預期增強。 市場預計今年美國企業獲利將成長18.7%,高於年初和戰前水準。 貝萊德的報告顯示,科技股的估值溢價面臨壓力,但預計該產業2026年的獲利成長率將達到43%,高於去年的26%。博萬表示:“這些利好因素在一定程度上促使我們上調對美國股票的評級。”博伊文表示:“我們目前對風險持溫和樂觀態度,並相對偏好美股,認為即使其絕對表現不盡如人意,也能更好地抵禦風險。” 貝萊德投資研究所表示,美伊談判破裂可能引發市場波動,但雙方的談判意願凸顯了結束衝突的經濟動力。 華盛頓和德黑蘭週末在巴基斯坦舉行的談判未能達成協議,加劇了人們對雙方本已脆弱的停火協議能否持久的擔憂。美國軍方於美國東部時間週一上午10點開始封鎖進出伊朗港口的船隻。
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