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調査速報:CNI第1四半期:EPSは予想を上回ったものの、売上高は伸び悩み、逆風の中、営業成績は向上

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-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。CNIの第1四半期調整後EPSは1.80カナダドルとなり、当社の予想1.73カナダドルを上回りましたが、市場コンセンサスの1.81カナダドルには届きませんでした。売上高は1%減の43億8000万カナダドルとなりました。これは、取扱量が3%増加したものの、為替変動と炭素税の影響でRTM当たりの運賃収入が3%減少したことが要因です。営業利益率は80ベーシスポイント悪化し、64.2%となりました。これは、第1四半期の燃費効率が過去最高を記録し、従業員の生産性が8%向上するなど、業務改善が行われたにもかかわらず、コスト上昇が売上高の伸びを上回ったためです。セグメント別の業績はまちまちで、穀物・肥料部門は10%増と好調でしたが、金属・鉱物部門は11%減となりました。しかし、実質為替レートベースでは売上高が2%増加し、基調的な勢いは依然として堅調でした。経営陣は、2026年度の売上高成長率が横ばいになるとの見通しを改めて表明し、EPS成長率は販売量成長率をわずかに上回り、28億カナダドルの設備投資計画は継続されると述べた。フリーキャッシュフローは44%増の9億カナダドルに急増し、8億6,900万カナダドルの自社株買いを支えた。当社は、堅調な事業指標とキャッシュ創出を好意的に評価しているが、インフレによるコスト増と為替変動の逆風による利益率への圧力は、短期的な懸念材料として残っている。

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