-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。IRの第1四半期決算発表を受け、12ヶ月目標株価を100ドルから90ドルに下方修正します。これにより、株価は2027年のEPS予想3.93ドル(従来予想3.97ドルから下方修正、2026年のEPS予想は変更なし)の23倍となり、IRの長期的な過去平均株価倍率および同業他社の株価倍率に近い水準となります。IRの調整後EPSは0.77ドル(前年同期比7%増)と予想を上回りましたが、基礎的な業績を見ると、オーガニック売上高と受注の伸びは厳しい四半期となりました。総売上高は買収と為替変動の影響で8%増加しましたが、オーガニック売上高は0.3%減少し、同社の2つの事業セグメント間の乖離が顕著に表れています。精密・科学技術セグメントは、4%のオーガニック成長と利益率の拡大という好調な業績を上げた一方、より規模の大きい産業技術セグメントは、販売量と関税の逆風により、売上高が2%減少し、利益率が210bps低下しました。2026年の業績見通しは後半に重点が置かれており、実行リスクが伴うと見ています。これは、失敗の余地がほとんどないためです。今後の見通しとしては、より広範な景気回復が本格化すると予想される第3四半期がIRにとって重要な四半期となるでしょう。
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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Sell Opinion On Shares Of Sirius Xm Holdings Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our 12-month target price by $5 to $22, applying an EV/revenue multiple of 2.0x to our 2026 estimate, a discount to its three-year historical average multiple of 2.5x. We trim our 2026 EPS estimate by $0.01 to $3.09 and raise 2027's by $0.14 to $3.45. There was mention of a softer auto sales environment, which created headwinds for trial starts and impacted subscriber acquisition, particularly following last year's tariff-driven pull forward in vehicle sales. Conversion rates for self-pay subscribers saw slight declines, especially as younger car purchasers entered the trial funnel, and used car conversion rates remained lower than new car rates. Subscriber trends are expected to be modestly lower Y/Y, with management cautioning about ongoing pressures and declining to change subscriber guidance for the year due to uncertainties in auto sales and companion subscription take rates.
US Treasury Lifts Q2 Borrowing Estimate
The US Treasury said Monday that it expects to borrow $189 billion in Q2, a larger borrowing estimate than the $109 billion it announced in its previous statement.The reason for the increase in the borrowing estimate was lower projected net cash flows that were partially offset by a higher-than-expected cash balance at the start of the quarter. The Treasury still assumes a $900 billion end-of-quarter balance.Borrowing is seen at $671 billion in Q3, with an estimated cash balance of $950 billion at the end of September.The Treasury borrowed $577 billion in Q1, ending March with an $893 billion cash balance at the end of the quarter. The Treasury had previously expected to borrow $574 billion with an end-of-March cash balance of $850 billion.The slightly higher amount of Q1 borrowing was due to a higher-than-assumed end-of-quarter cash balance that were partially offset by higher net cash flows, the Treasury said.