-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。2026年のEBITDA予想8億1,400万ドル(従来予想7億7,000万ドル、前年比11%増)にEV/EBITDA倍率14倍を適用し、12ヶ月目標株価を4ドル引き上げ、78ドルとします。2026年のEPS予想は4.62ドルから5.32ドルに、2027年のEPS予想は4.91ドルから5.72ドルにそれぞれ引き上げます。ETSYは第1四半期に好調な業績を上げ、GMSは前年同期比5.5%増、アクティブバイヤー数は前四半期比で緩やかな伸びを示しました。ただし、この業績は、為替変動(GMSを190ベーシスポイント押し上げ)や、関税および少額免税措置の撤廃による平均注文額の増加など、いくつかの一時的な追い風の影響を受けています。同社の第2四半期の業績見通しでは、GMS(流通総額)が前年同期比3~5%増となる見込みであり、短期的な勢いは維持されていることを示唆しています。重要な議論は、比較対象となる顧客基盤がより厳しくなる下半期に移ります。当社は、リピーターや常連客の動向が安定するなど、顧客指標の改善に支えられ、引き続き強気の見方を維持しています。これは、最近のアプリの機能強化(パーソナライゼーション、商品発見など)によるものと考えています。また、第3四半期までに完了すると予想される12億ドルのDepop売却に続き、大規模な自社株買いも実施されると予想しています。
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