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FINWIRES

調査速報:CFRAはCommvault Systems Inc.の株式に対する「ホールド」評価を維持。

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-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。目標株価を101ドルから106ドルに引き上げます。これは、2027年度の1株当たり利益(EPS)予想5.05ドル(過去3年間の平均を下回る)に基づく予想PERが21倍となるためです。2027年度のEPS予想を4.80ドルから5.05ドルに引き上げ、2028年度のEPS予想は5.90ドルから開始します。CVLTは、市場予想を上回る堅調な第4四半期決算を発表しました。総売上高は前年同期比13%増の3億1,200万ドルとなり、これはサブスクリプション売上高が20%増の2億800万ドル、SaaS売上高が9,300万ドル(前年同期比43%増)と好調だったことが要因です。 SaaSの年間経常収益(ARR)は42%増の4億ドルに達し、サブスクリプションのARRは前年同期比27%増の9億8,900万ドルとなり、純新規ARRは5,300万ドルで2026年度の四半期業績で最高を記録しました。この結果は、AI利用に伴うデータセキュリティの課題からCVLTが恩恵を受けていることによる事業の勢いを反映しています。当社は長期的な追い風を期待していますが、2027年度にはマクロ経済と需要の不確実性が増大すると見ています。当社は、印象的なフリーキャッシュフロー創出(過去最高の1億3,200万ドル)と、新会計年度に期待される継続的な利益率の拡大を強調します。

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Reiterates Strong Buy Opinion On Shares Of Agnico Eagle Mines Limited

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We decrease our 12-month target by CAD35 to CAD370, as we value AEM using an EV/EBITDA of 8.4x applied to our 2027 EBITDA estimate, in line with AEM's three-year average forward EV/EBITDA of 8.4x and a premium to the peers' average of 5.3x. We increase our EPS estimates: 2026 by USD1.13 to USD14.65 and 2027 by USD2.71 to USD17.58. AEM delivered a strong Q1 with record operating margins driven by elevated gold prices and disciplined cost control. 2026 production guidance remains 3.3-3.5 million ounces with costs tracking to plan. AEM's balance sheet remains strong with $2.9B in net cash, supporting an industry-leading growth pipeline targeting 20%-30% production growth over the next decade through projects at Detour underground, Canadian Malartic expansion, Hope Bay, and Upper Beaver. The proposed Finland consolidation adds a potential 500k oz platform. Management plans to return 40% of free cash flow via dividends and an expanded $2B buyback program, while simultaneously funding high-return growth projects.

$AEM
International

RBC Sees USD/CAD Range-Bound In Near Term, Gradual Decline Longer Term

RBC Capital Markets in its CAD Weekly Soundbites (Rates & FX) note on Friday said an "event-rich" week "largely came as expected", with a "steady fiscal profile", the Bank of Canada delivering a "modestly hawkish hold" and first-quarter GDP "continuing to track above potential".The bank said the BoC's hawkish tilt reinforces its view for a gradual decline in USD/CAD in the long term. However, it added that recent BoC and Federal Reserve meetings suggest both will be on hold in the short term, leaving a range-bound bias on USD/CAD.In its rates view, RBC said the expected BoC hold was delivered this week, but the balance of changes tilted hawkish. The BoC modestly upgraded its GDP profile, noted the expected absorption of excess slack and said the neutral range discussion was slanted higher, even though the 2.25%-3.25% range was left unchanged.RBC said it maintains its long-held view that the base case is the BoC on hold in 2026, with hikes in 2027, but added that the chance of second-half hikes far exceeds the chance of a cut.On foreign exchange, RBC said this week's marginally hawkish BoC tilt reinforces its longer-run view for a gradual move lower in USD/CAD into next year, partly conditional on the BoC shifting to hikes in 2027, with risk in the second half of 2026.However, in the near term, the bank said it continues to see the pair range-bound, as central bank meetings suggest the BoC and the Fed are likely to be on hold in the coming months, keeping US-Canada rate differentials relatively stable. That should continue to act as a floor under USD/CAD, with the 1.3500 area seen as the bottom of the range.RBC added that a weekly close below 1.3598 has reasserted the downtrend in USD/CAD and favours a re-test of this year's lows at 1.3526 and 1.3482."Below there, the September 2024 low at 1.3420 would come into view. Initial resistance is located at 1.3598 and 1.3661, followed by 1.3728, with rallies to the latter two levels viewed as a selling opportunity," said George Davis, chief technical strategist at RBC Capital Markets.

$$CXY$CAD$usd
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Reiterates Sell Opinion On Shares Of O-i Glass, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We decrease our 12-month target by $6.50 to $7.50, on an EV/EBITDA of 5.5x our 2026 EBITDA estimate, below O-I's one-year average of 5.6x. We decrease our 2026 EPS by $0.58 to $1.25 and 2027 by $0.40 to $1.95. O-I's Fit to Win program achieved $35M in net savings during Q1 and is 50% of the way to its goal of $750M in benefits, a highlight of the quarter. O-I secured 15 new accounts in the quarter that should drive 2H 2026 volume 1.5% higher. We note that volumes were down 8% Y/Y; this trend improved in March, with volumes down only 2%. Management noted that the European segment was the primary driver of poor results, with a $68M decrease from the prior year attributable to softer demand and intense competition in the Southern European wine market. Inflation risks from conflicts in the Middle East are a major risk, potentially adding $75M-$100M in costs if prices remain elevated. We currently see 2027 EBITDA as flat vs. 2025 ($1.23B), but this view could improve if energy prices decrease in 2H 2026.

$OI