-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。12ヶ月目標株価を5ドル引き下げ、15ドルとします。これは、より保守的な株式リスクプレミアムを適用し、予想PERを15.0倍とするためです(2026年予想利益に基づく過去3年間の平均PERは19.4倍)。また、2026年の分配可能利益(DE)を0.05ドル引き下げ、0.95ドルとします。さらに、2027年の分配可能利益を0.10ドル引き下げ、1.05ドルとします。プライベートクレジット市場、OWLの個人投資家からの償還、AIによるディスラプションの影響を受ける可能性のあるテクノロジーおよび専門サービス企業への直接融資に対する投資家心理の悪化が見られます。しかしながら、プライベートクレジット市場、特に直接融資のファンダメンタルズは安定しており、システミックリスクの兆候や、融資延滞の加速を示す指標は見られません。 OWLは多様なポートフォリオを有しており、直接融資は総運用資産額3,150億ドルのわずか37%を占めるに過ぎません。2026年第1四半期の資金調達額は前年同期の294億ドルから444億ドルに増加し、プライベートクレジットは前年同期比40%増の208億ドル(総資金調達額の47%)となりました。プライベートウェルス部門の資金調達額はわずか29億ドルで、そのほとんどは実物資産とプライベートクレジットによるものです。
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