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FINWIRES

調査速報:CFRAはBHPグループのADSSに関する見解を保留に

-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。12ヶ月目標株価を86米ドル(従来83米ドル)に引き上げ、BHPの2026年度EV/EBITDA倍率を6.80倍と評価します。これは過去3年間の平均を19%上回る水準であり、銅と鉄鉱石による短期的な商品市場の追い風を反映しています。経営陣は2026年度の銅生産量見通しを維持し、エスコンディーダ鉱山の好調な業績(過去最高の採掘量)と単位コスト見通しの1.00~1.20米ドル/ポンド(従来1.20~1.50米ドル/ポンド)への下方修正を背景に、生産量は見通しの上限に近い水準になると予想しています。世界の銅市場は、電化とデジタルインフラ需要に支えられ、2026年には約15万トンの供給不足に転じると予測されており、当社は引き続き銅市場に対して楽観的な見方を維持しています。しかしながら、シマンドゥ鉱山の生産による供給過剰の懸念と中国の鉄鋼需要の低迷から、鉄鉱石については慎重な姿勢をとっています。BHPとCMRGの契約紛争が円満に解決したことで、販売量の不確実性が解消され、中国からの鉄鉱石の主要収益は安定するはずです。EPADSは2026年度に5.24米ドル、2027年度に5.48米ドルと予測しています(従来予想は5.22米ドル、5.32米ドル)。

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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.

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Petro Rabigh Emerges From Loss in Q1; Revenue Grows

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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Buy Opinion On Shares Of The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We trim our 12-month target price by $8 to $155, valuing HIG shares at 11.3x our 2026 operating EPS estimate of $13.75 (cut by $0.45) and at 10.6x our 2027 EPS estimate of $14.65 (cut by $0.30), vs. the shares' one-year average forward multiple of 10.3x and peer average of 13x. Q1 EPS of $3.09 vs. $2.20 a year ago missed our $3.60 estimate and $3.39 consensus view. Operating revenue growth of 6.2% was in line with our 6%-10% forecast, amid 5.3% earned premium growth, 13% higher net investment income, and 7.9% fee revenue growth. Q1 written premium growth of 4% and full-year 2025 growth of 7% bode well for 2026 revenue trends as premiums are earned. Underwriting results improved significantly, with Personal Lines combined ratio improving to 87.7% from 106.1% and underlying combined ratio to 85.0% from 89.7%. Business Insurance combined ratio was stable at 94.8%. Weighing the Q1 EPS miss with HIG's decent top-line growth and discounted valuation to peers, we view the shares as undervalued.

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