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調査速報:CFRAはミッドアメリカ・アパートメント・コミュニティーズ社の株式に対する「売り」の投資判断を維持。

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-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。MAAの主要賃貸市場の低迷と、予想P/FFOが14.0倍(集合住宅REITの平均15.5倍を下回る)であることを考慮し、目標株価を6ドル引き下げ、119ドルとします。2026年のFFO予想を0.15ドル引き上げ8.50ドルとし、2027年のFFO予想を0.10ドル引き下げ8.70ドルとします。総賃貸収入はそれぞれ22億ドルと23億ドルと見込んでいます。 2027年のFFO見通しについては、2026年と同様、新規リースの賃料引き上げが困難になるとの見方から、より慎重な見通しとしています。MAAの事業展開地域は主にサンベルト地域ですが、新規供給の増加により月間リース料に下方圧力がかかり、新規テナントのリース契約において、入居率向上と空室率低下のためのインセンティブが必要となっています。米国経済と雇用動向が、月間賃料や収益の上昇の起爆剤になるとは考えていません。MAAの主要なサンベルト地域市場の一部では、デンバー(前年比-13%)やテキサス州オースティン(前年比-9%)など、キャッシュNOIが減少しており、他の地域市場も低迷しています。配当利回りは4.7%で、これは安定していると考えています。

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CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lower our target price by $6 to $119, recognizing weakness in MAA's key rental markets and a forward P/FFO of 14.0x compared to the multifamily residential REIT average at 15.5x. We raise our FFO estimate in 2026 by $0.15 to $8.50 and lower 2027 by $0.10 to $8.70 per share on total rental revenue of $2.2B and $2.3B, respectively. We have a more cautious FFO outlook for 2027 on our view that raising rents on new leases will be challenging, as it has been in 2026. MAA's geographic footprint in mostly Sun Belt markets faces new supply that has put downward pressure on monthly lease rates and sparked the need for incentives on new tenant leases to meet absorption and reduce vacancies. We do not think the U.S. economy and employment trends are likely to be a catalyst for higher monthly rental rates or revenue. Some of MAA's major Sun Belt markets realized cash NOI declines, like Denver (-13% Y/Y) and Austin, TX (-9% Y/Y), with weakness in other local markets. Dividend yield is 4.7%, which we think is secure.

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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Vlto

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We adjust our target price to $100 from $115 following Q1 results, valuing shares at 22x our unchanged 2027 EPS outlook of $4.53, near peers' three-year historical forward P/E average. We lift our 2026 EPS view to $4.20 from $4.15. VLTO delivered a solid Q1 beat, with operating EPS of $1.07 rising 12.6% Y/Y and surpassing consensus of $1.01, while core sales grew roughly 2% Y/Y, led by stronger Water Quality revenues (up 4%) offsetting a 1% decline in Product Quality and Innovation. China remained a mixed bag, with divergent performance across segments. Operating margins expanded modestly, rising 10 bps to 25.1%, reflecting bottom-line improvements despite mixed sales performance. FCF was up 19.7%, supporting approximately $1B in capital deployment during the quarter, including $620M for the acquisitions of In-Situ and GlobalVision and $300M in share repurchases. VLTO also initiated a cost optimization program expected to generate annual savings of $65M to $75M by 2028.

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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Fair Isaac Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We maintain our target price of $1,219, applying 26x our FY 27 (Sep.) EPS estimate, with the compressed multiple reflecting regulatory uncertainty following the FHFA's decision allowing VantageScore in conforming mortgages, introducing the first meaningful competition to FICO's long-standing monopoly. Our EPS estimates are $41.08 for FY 26 (up from $38.48) and $46.90 in FY 27. We maintain our Hold rating while awaiting greater clarity on competitive dynamics and adoption trends for FICO's Mortgage Direct licensing program, with lender uptake remaining uncertain and management's dismissal of competitive threats contrasting with defensive pricing actions. While the company continues demonstrating strong near-term performance and aggressive capital returns through share repurchases, the regulatory landscape has fundamentally shifted in ways that warrant caution. FICO's Platform software momentum, expanding operating leverage, and switching costs offer enough upside to balance the recent industry changes.

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