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FINWIRES

調査速報:CFRAはフォード・モーター・カンパニー株に対する「ホールド」の投資判断を維持

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-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。2027年のPERを6.8倍と想定し、12ヶ月目標株価を1ドル引き上げ13ドルとします。これは、フォードの過去5年間の平均予想PERである8.0倍を割安としたものです。また、2026年の調整後EPS予想を1.42ドルから1.80ドルに、2027年の調整後EPS予想を1.75ドルから1.90ドルに引き上げます。フォードの第1四半期決算発表を受け、予想を引き上げましたが、投資判断は「ホールド」を維持します。フォードの第1四半期決算は市場予想を大きく上回りましたが、この好業績は主に2025年3月から2026年2月までの期間に支払われた金額を反映した13億ドルの国際緊急経済権限法(IEEPA)に基づく一時的な関税還付によるものです。率直に言って、第1四半期の好業績を考慮すると、同社の2026年の調整後EBITガイダンスは5億ドル以上引き上げられるべきだったと考えています。見通しを詳しく調べたところ、約20億ドルの原材料費インフレが見込まれる一方、材料費と保証費の削減により10億ドルが相殺されることが分かりました。そのため、残りの期間の予想を引き下げました。さらに、経営陣の実績は一貫性に欠けており、様子見を推奨します。

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