-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。当社は、目標株価を1,219ドルに据え置きます。これは、2027年度(9月期)のEPS予想の26倍を適用したものです。この倍率は、FHFAがVantageScoreを適合住宅ローンに導入することを決定したことによる規制上の不確実性を反映しています。これにより、FICOの長年の独占状態に対する初の本格的な競争が生まれます。当社のEPS予想は、2026年度が41.08ドル(従来予想の38.48ドルから上方修正)、2027年度が46.90ドルです。当社は、FICOの住宅ローン直接ライセンスプログラムにおける競争環境と導入動向についてより明確な情報が得られるまで、投資判断を「ホールド」に据え置きます。融資機関の導入状況は依然として不透明であり、経営陣は競争上の脅威を否定する一方で、価格面で防衛的な措置を講じています。同社は引き続き堅調な短期業績と自社株買いによる積極的な資本還元を示しているものの、規制環境は根本的に変化しており、注意が必要である。FICOのプラットフォームソフトウェアの勢い、拡大する営業レバレッジ、およびスイッチングコストは、最近の業界の変化を相殺するのに十分な上昇余地を提供する。
Related Articles
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Sell Rating On Shares Of Mid-america Apartment Communities, Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lower our target price by $6 to $119, recognizing weakness in MAA's key rental markets and a forward P/FFO of 14.0x compared to the multifamily residential REIT average at 15.5x. We raise our FFO estimate in 2026 by $0.15 to $8.50 and lower 2027 by $0.10 to $8.70 per share on total rental revenue of $2.2B and $2.3B, respectively. We have a more cautious FFO outlook for 2027 on our view that raising rents on new leases will be challenging, as it has been in 2026. MAA's geographic footprint in mostly Sun Belt markets faces new supply that has put downward pressure on monthly lease rates and sparked the need for incentives on new tenant leases to meet absorption and reduce vacancies. We do not think the U.S. economy and employment trends are likely to be a catalyst for higher monthly rental rates or revenue. Some of MAA's major Sun Belt markets realized cash NOI declines, like Denver (-13% Y/Y) and Austin, TX (-9% Y/Y), with weakness in other local markets. Dividend yield is 4.7%, which we think is secure.
Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Vlto
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We adjust our target price to $100 from $115 following Q1 results, valuing shares at 22x our unchanged 2027 EPS outlook of $4.53, near peers' three-year historical forward P/E average. We lift our 2026 EPS view to $4.20 from $4.15. VLTO delivered a solid Q1 beat, with operating EPS of $1.07 rising 12.6% Y/Y and surpassing consensus of $1.01, while core sales grew roughly 2% Y/Y, led by stronger Water Quality revenues (up 4%) offsetting a 1% decline in Product Quality and Innovation. China remained a mixed bag, with divergent performance across segments. Operating margins expanded modestly, rising 10 bps to 25.1%, reflecting bottom-line improvements despite mixed sales performance. FCF was up 19.7%, supporting approximately $1B in capital deployment during the quarter, including $620M for the acquisitions of In-Situ and GlobalVision and $300M in share repurchases. VLTO also initiated a cost optimization program expected to generate annual savings of $65M to $75M by 2028.
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Fair Isaac Corporation
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We maintain our target price of $1,219, applying 26x our FY 27 (Sep.) EPS estimate, with the compressed multiple reflecting regulatory uncertainty following the FHFA's decision allowing VantageScore in conforming mortgages, introducing the first meaningful competition to FICO's long-standing monopoly. Our EPS estimates are $41.08 for FY 26 (up from $38.48) and $46.90 in FY 27. We maintain our Hold rating while awaiting greater clarity on competitive dynamics and adoption trends for FICO's Mortgage Direct licensing program, with lender uptake remaining uncertain and management's dismissal of competitive threats contrasting with defensive pricing actions. While the company continues demonstrating strong near-term performance and aggressive capital returns through share repurchases, the regulatory landscape has fundamentally shifted in ways that warrant caution. FICO's Platform software momentum, expanding operating leverage, and switching costs offer enough upside to balance the recent industry changes.