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調査速報:CFRAはハリバートン社の株式に対する投資判断を「ホールド」に据え置きました。

-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。当社の12ヶ月目標株価42ドル(4ドル引き上げ)は、相対評価とDCFモデルを組み合わせたものです。相対評価では、HALの過去のフォワード平均を上回る、2027年予想EBITDAに対する企業価値倍率9.1倍を適用しています。HALが北米で確固たる地位を築いていることを考慮すると、中東情勢の緊迫化を踏まえ、このプレミアム倍率は妥当であると考えています。このアプローチでは、1株当たり39ドルの企業価値が算出されます。一方、中期的なフリーキャッシュフロー成長率5%、終末期成長率2%、WACC7.1%で割り引いたDCFモデルでは、1株当たり45ドルの本質的価値が算出されます。当社は、2026年のEPS予想を0.09ドル引き上げて2.37ドルに、2027年のEPS予想を0.13ドル引き上げて2.65ドルとしました。HALは、中東情勢の影響で2026年のEPSが0.07~0.09ドル下方修正されると予想していますが、当社はラテンアメリカが好調で、その影響を部分的に相殺すると考えています。経営陣は北米で回復の兆しが見られると見ていますが、回復が緩やかなものか急速なものかは議論の余地があると考えています。

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