FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

調査速報:CFRAはドミノ・ピザ社の株式について「ホールド」の見解を維持します。

By

-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。12ヶ月目標株価を66ドル引き下げ、355ドルとします。これは、2026年EPS予想の19倍(従来は23倍)に相当し、過去3年間の平均25倍を下回る水準です。これは、収益成長に対する継続的な競争リスクおよびマクロ経済リスクを反映したものです。2026年EPS予想を18.29ドルから18.65ドルに引き上げ、2027年EPS予想を19.74ドルから19.45ドルに引き下げます。これは、米国既存店売上高成長率が1桁台前半、営業利益成長率が1桁台半ばになると見込んでいるためです。テイクアウト売上(前年比+2.4%)とデリバリー売上(前年比-0.3%)が低調であったこと、およびプロモーション活動が拡大したことを理由に、引き続き「ホールド」の見解を維持します。ただし、店舗数の大幅な増加(純増180店舗)と20%の営業利益率が、DPZの長期的な競争力を強化していることが、この低調さを相殺しています。プロモーション活動にもかかわらず、予想を上回る利益率の安定性を理由に、2026年のEPS予想を引き上げましたが、当社の予想は依然として市場コンセンサスを約5%下回っています。アグリゲーターチャネルにおけるピザ以外のQSR競合他社との直接的な価値競争の激化は、DPZのデリバリーチャネルの成長回復を制限する可能性があり、同社の長期的な成長アルゴリズムにとって逆風になると考えています。

Related Articles

Research

Research Alert: Ventas: Revenue Beats, $1b In New Senior Housing Properties Acquired In Q1

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:VTR reported Q1 revenue of $1.66B, up 22.0% Y/Y (+5.8% Q/Q) and $81M ahead of consensus estimates, with same-store cash NOI rising 8.7% Y/Y driven by strong Senior Housing Operating (SHO) performance (+15.4% Y/Y). Outpatient Medical and Research (OMR) contributed +2.4% NOI growth while Triple-Net (NNN) added +1.6% Y/Y growth, demonstrating diversified portfolio strength across all business segments. SHOP fundamentals remain exceptionally robust with occupancy increasing 310 bps Y/Y (+30 bps Q/Q) to 90.4% and average monthly revenue per occupied room (RevPOR) up 5.0% Y/Y to $5,512, demonstrating continued strong pricing power in senior housing markets. Cash NOI margins expanded significantly with SHOP margins increasing 170 bps to 30.0%, while OMR margins contracted 80 bps to 64.6% compared to Q1 2025 levels. The strong operational execution in SHOP continues to drive both occupancy gains and margin expansion, positioning VTR well for sustained NOI growth going forward.

$VTR
Asia

AM Best Affirms Tower Ratings at 'A-Excellent' With Stable Outlook

Tower (ASX:TWR, NZE:TWR) said AM Best has reaffirmed its financial strength rating at "A-Excellent" and its long-term issuer credit rating at "a-Excellent," both with a stable outlook, according to a Tuesday filing with the New Zealand bourse.The agency attributed the ratings to the company's strong balance sheet, adequate operating performance, neutral business profile, and sound risk management, the filing added.

$ASX:TWR$NZE:TWR
Commodities

US Natural Gas Update: Futures Rise on Cooler Weather Outlook

US natural gas futures climbed in after-hours trading on Monday as a cooler weather outlook and easing supply conditions triggered some short covering.The front-month Henry Hub contract and the continuous contract both rose 0.75% to $2.542 per million British thermal units.Prices briefly touched an intraday high of around $2.63/MMBtu in earlier trade."Nat-gas prices settled higher on Monday as short covering emerged amid colder US weather forecasts, potentially boosting nat-gas heating demand," Barchart said.Weather-driven demand shifts were a key driver. NatGasWeather.com said models have moved cooler versus last week, adding more heating demand days while reducing cooling demand. The forecaster said the change leaves the outlook less bearish and closer to neutral or slightly bullish.On the demand side, residential and commercial consumption increased sharply to 15.2 billion cubic feet per day from 12.5 Bcf/d as cooler temperatures boosted heating needs. Power burn remained steady at 32.5 Bcf/d and is projected to average 30.3 Bcf/d for the week, up from 29 Bcf/d last week, Gelber & Associates said.Total US natural gas production was flat last week, averaging around 106.5 Bcf/d, NRG Energy said. Trading Economics said output fell by around 4.1 Bcf/d over the past 18 days to an 11-week low of 108.1 Bcf/d, as major producers such as EQT scaled back output in response to low prices.Both NRG Energy and Gelber said Canadian imports fell to 4.7-4.8 Bcf/d from 5.5 Bcf/d.On the export side, Barchart, citing BNEF data, said LNG flows were 19.5 Bcf/d, down 2.1% from last week's robust levels. Trading Economics put the April average feedgas flow at 18.9 Bcf/d so far and noted it was near record highs."Today saw cooler forecast revisions, softer production, and steady LNG demand, which offers limited support for prices. That said, overall fundamental balances are not tight enough to fully change the story," Gelber said Monday.