-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。12ヶ月目標株価を260ドルから200ドルに引き下げます。これは、2026年のEPS予想（17.33ドルから17.56ドル、2027年のEPS予想（17.85ドルから18.00ドル））の11.4倍に相当し、過去3年間の同社の平均予想PERである12.9倍を下回っています。当社は、THCのバリュエーションは、近年の負債削減努力と、過去数年よりも改善した利益率を、OBBBA法に基づくメディケイド適用範囲の縮小や、ACA（医療費負担適正化法）による保険料税額控除の期限切れといった政策上の逆風とバランスが取れていると考えています。これらの逆風は、無償医療費の増加リスクを高めます。第1四半期における同一施設でのACA交換入院患者数は前年同期比10%減少しました。THCは2026年のACA交換患者数が20%減少すると予測しており、調整後EBITDAに2億5000万ドルのマイナス影響が出ると見込んでいます。保険適用範囲の状況がより明確になるであろう第2四半期決算発表時にTHCが年間ガイダンスを見直すと予想されますが、現時点では同社が年間入院・外来患者数のガイダンスを維持することを好意的に見ています。
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