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調査速報:CFRAはクアンタ・サービス社の株価に対する評価を「買い」から「中立」に引き下げた。

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-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。12ヶ月目標株価を158ドル引き上げ、773ドルとします。これは、今後12ヶ月のEPS予想14.70ドルの52.6倍に相当します。また、2026年のEPS予想を0.93ドル引き上げ14.31ドルに、2027年のEPS予想を1.18ドル引き上げ16.74ドルとします。投資判断を「ホールド」に変更したのは、第1四半期決算発表で株価が15.8%急騰した後、十分な上昇余地を見込める水準のバリュエーションを正当化することが困難であるとの判断を部分的に反映したものです。今回の目標株価773ドルにおけるバリュエーションの両辺は、以前の目標株価615ドル(EPS13.38ドルの46.0倍で算出)における両辺よりも大幅に高くなっています。株価収益率を14.3%、EPSを9.9%引き上げても、現在の水準では上昇余地はわずか4%程度にとどまります。PWRのファンダメンタルズは、記録的な受注残高と堅実な事業遂行により依然として堅調ですが、リスク/リターンプロファイルは中立にシフトしています。これは、データセンタープロジェクトの遅延/中止(業界の推定では、2026年のプロジェクトの30%~50%がリスクにさらされている)、固定価格契約のコスト超過リスクの増加、顧客からの異議申し立てのある変更指示の回収の困難化といった懸念が高まっているためです。

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