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調査速報:CFRAはキンダー・モーガン株の買い推奨を維持

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-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。当社の12ヶ月目標株価は、相対評価モデルとDCFモデルを組み合わせた結果、36ドルで据え置きます。相対評価では、2027年予想EBITDAに企業価値の11倍を適用します。これは、KMIの過去の予想平均をわずかに上回る水準です。LNG輸出とデータセンターという2つの長期的な成長要因に支えられた天然ガス需要の増加を考慮すると、若干のプレミアムは妥当であると考え、この倍率に基づくと1株当たり33ドルの企業価値となります。一方、当社のDCFモデルでは、10年間のフリーキャッシュフロー成長率を年率7.8%、ターミナル成長率を2.5%とし、WACCを6.2%で割り引くと、1株当たり39ドルの本質的価値が得られます。 2026年のEPS予想を0.12ドル引き上げて1.48ドルとする一方、2027年のEPS予想は0.03ドル引き下げて1.47ドルとします。EIAの天然ガス価格予想はやや落ち着きを見せていますが、当社は依然として1MMBtuあたり3ドル台後半の価格帯(2026~2027年の予想)であれば、KMIが提供するガス中間輸送サービスの需要増を促すのに十分であると考えています。

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調査速報:CFRAはキンダー・モーガン株の買い推奨を維持 | FINWIRES