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FINWIRES

調査速報:CFRAがニューコア・コーポレーション株の投資判断を「ホールド」から「売り」に引き下げ

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-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。2027年のEBITDA予想に基づくEV/EBITDA倍率が8.5倍となり、NUEの過去3年間の平均EV/EBITDA倍率7.8倍と、同業他社の平均9.2倍の中間に位置することから、12ヶ月目標株価を6ドル引き上げ、198ドルとします。また、2026年のEPS予想を1.97ドル引き上げ、13.75ドルとし、2027年のEPS予想を0.09ドル引き下げ、13.39ドルとします。 NUEは第1四半期に好調な業績を報告し、製鉄所出荷量は過去最高の700万トン、受注残高は2021年第2四半期以来の最高となる470万トンを記録しました。経営陣はデータセンター、インフラ、国境フェンス建設プロジェクトからの需要が持続すると楽観視していますが、当社は現在の鉄鋼価格動向は持続不可能なピークを反映していると考えています。輸入浸透率は、積極的な貿易執行によって国内供給が逼迫し価格が上昇したことにより15%に低下しました。しかし、米国で新たな生産能力が稼働し(NUE自身のウェストバージニア州のシート工場が2027年から2028年にかけて生産量を増やす予定)、潜在的に軟調な市場に供給が加わることで、競争圧力が再び強まると予想されます。当社は現在の水準ではリスクとリターンのバランスが不利だと考えています。

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