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FINWIRES

調査速報:CFRAがカーライル・グループの株価を「買い」から「売り」に引き下げ

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-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。2026年の予想PERを10.7倍(過去5年間の平均11.5倍、同業他社の平均を下回る)とし、目標株価を25ドル引き下げて45ドルとします。2026年のEPS予想を0.50ドル引き下げて4.20ドル、2027年のEPS予想を0.25ドル引き下げて5.15ドルとします。売上高予想はそれぞれ42億ドルと50億ドルです。CGの業績と見通しは、オルタナティブ資産運用(ALT)業界の大手同業他社に比べて遅れていると考えています。2026年第1四半期のCGの業績は、分配可能利益を含む複数の指標において期待外れでした。この四半期は、主に未実現パフォーマンス配分の取り消しを反映して、6億1,700万ドルの大きな投資損失が発生しました。これは主に、特定の公開投資の市場価格下落による同社の7番目の米国バイアウトファンドの減価償却によるものですが、国際エネルギーファンドの上昇によって部分的に相殺されました。純累積パフォーマンス収益は、2025年第4四半期の29億ドルから26億ドルに減少し、この四半期におけるキャリーの反転により、四半期ベースで9%の減少となりました。

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