-- 独立系調査会社CFRAは、に対し、以下の調査レポートを提供しました。CFRAのアナリストは、以下のように見解をまとめています。IMOの第1四半期純利益は、前年同期の12億8,800万カナダドル(1株当たり2.52カナダドル)から27%減の9億4,000万カナダドル(1株当たり1.94カナダドル)となり、売上高は1%減の124億カナダドルでした。利益減少の主な要因は、商品価格の下落、WTI/WCS価格差の拡大(14.34カナダドル対12.59カナダドル)、および上流部門の生産量が日量41万9,000バレルで横ばいだったことです。下流部門のマージン改善が一部相殺要因となりました。Syncrude社のコークス製造装置の計画外停止や天然ガス供給停止など、複数の操業上の問題が発生し、キャッシュフローが大幅に減少しました。これは市場にとって好ましい状況とは言えないでしょう。同社は配当を20%増額し、1株当たり0.72カナダドルとし、2026年6月に自社株買いプログラムを更新する予定です。設備投資が20%増の4億7,800万カナダドルとなったため、フリーキャッシュフローは11億5,000万カナダドルから3億600万カナダドルへと大幅に減少しました。バランスシートは依然として業界最高水準ですが、価格実現と上流生産が相まって、本来であれば大きな利益を生むはずだった期間において、期待外れの結果となりました。
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