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西太平洋银行称,新西兰劳动力市场调查支持3月份季度GDP增长0.8%。

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-- 西太平洋银行周三表示,新西兰劳动力市场调查数据支持其对3月份季度国内生产总值(GDP)增长0.8%的预测。 新西兰统计局的数据显示,经季节性调整后,新西兰3月份季度的失业率从2025年12月季度的5.4%降至5.3%,这是自2021年12月以来的首次下降。 该银行表示,它和市场此前预期失业率将持平,但这一结果与新西兰央行2月份货币政策声明的预测相符。 失业率下降是由于就业人数增加和劳动力参与率下降这一“不寻常的组合”所致。 调查中的就业指标显示,3月份季度经济活动呈现较为一致的增长态势,总工作时长增长0.8%,全职员工人数增长0.7%,已填补职位和已支付工时均增长0.6%。 报告指出,目前有诸多证据表明,经济在 2026 年初开始恢复一些增长势头,但中东冲突使未来几个月的经济活动和通胀压力前景蒙上阴影。

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