FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

蒙特利尔银行表示,3月份商品贸易数据显示,在中东战争中,加拿大作为能源供应国的优势日益凸显。

By

-- 蒙特利尔银行(BMO)周二表示,3月份的贸易数据显示,在霍尔木兹海峡仍然关闭的情况下,加拿大作为能源供应国的相对优势凸显出来。 但该行补充道,尽管在霍尔木兹海峡开放、中东冲突解决之前,这一优势将得以维持,但全球非能源需求的增长速度以及美墨加协定(CUSMA)的未来走向仍然是加拿大经济面临的主要不确定因素。 加拿大商品贸易账户在3月份由2月份修正后的51亿加元逆差转为18亿加元的顺差。 蒙特利尔银行指出,由于伊朗战争爆发推高了能源价格,以及更广泛的地缘政治不确定性,加拿大出口环比增长8.5%。出口增长主要由金属(增长24.0%,主要为对英国的黄金出口)和能源(增长15.6%,完全由价格上涨推动)带动。剔除这两类商品后,出口环比增长1.1%,增幅较为“正常”,这主要得益于汽车(增长4.5%)的增长,因为汽车生产在年初放缓后持续复苏。 与此同时,继2月份大幅增长后,进口额环比下降1.6%,降幅主要由消费品(-3.9%)和飞机及其他运输设备(-12.8%)推动。 按数量计,出口增长2.2%,而进口下降2.5%。尽管如此,BMO预计净出口拖累了第一季度的增长,但3月份的数据限制了这种影响。 与此同时,服务贸易账户变化不大,继2月份出现类似规模的顺差后,出现1亿美元的逆差。总体而言,加拿大在经历了上月50亿美元的贸易逆差后,实现了17亿美元的贸易顺差。

Related Articles

Research

Research Alert: CFRA Lowers Rating On Shares Of Pfizer Inc. To Hold From Buy

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lower our target to $28 from $31, 9.4x our 2027 EPS estimate, below PFE's historical forward P/E average. We keep our 2026 EPS view at $2.99 and our 2027 EPS at $2.97. PFE delivered solid top- and bottom-line Q1 results today that exceeded expectations while demonstrating continued progress in its post-Covid transition strategy. While we continue to think that shares are trading at a discount, as the company's main focus in the next year is on AI integration, and a new transformative M&A is not a key priority, we see limited catalysts to drive meaningful upside potential. We think PFE is aiming to maximize value from launched and acquired products with particular focus on key areas: oncology, obesity/metabolic disease, and vaccines. PFE remains committed to maintaining its dividend, continuing productivity initiatives ($7.2B cost savings target), and pursuing targeted business development (with $7B capacity) but we do not expect PFE executing share buybacks to support the share price in the near term.

$PFE
Commodities

EMEA Natural Gas Update: Dutch Futures Fall as US Signals Easing Iran Tensions

European natural gas futures were mixed on Tuesday, as the Dutch TTF contract fell by more than 2% in after-hours trade, easing tensions in the Middle East after the US signaled it would not retaliate following Monday's Iranian attacks.The front-month Dutch TTF contract was down 2.416% at 46.98 euros ($54.98) per megawatt-hour, while UK NBP futures were up 2.569% at 114.98 British pence ($1.56) as the markets were closed on Monday, due to the Early May Bank Holiday.The Dutch price decline followed comments from US officials who downplayed the risk of renewed conflict with Iran after Monday's incidents in the Strait of Hormuz and missile strikes targeting the UAE. According to Washington, the events did not violate a ceasefire that has held for nearly a month, helping to steady market sentiment.Although prices have climbed about 40% since the onset of the conflict, they have recently moderated as demand from Asia has weakened, Trading Economics said.Since hostilities began in late February, liquefied natural gas shipments from the Persian Gulf have been significantly disrupted, affecting roughly one-fifth of global supply. The supply shock has heightened concerns in Europe, where countries are working to replenish gas storage ahead of the winter season.Gas Infrastructure Europe puts current EU inventories at 33.79% of capacity, significantly below last year at this time when storage levels hit 41.14%.Mind Energy said near-term gas contracts are trading at a premium to winter delivery contracts, reducing the financial incentive for companies to inject gas into storage now.As a result, storage levels remain significantly below historical averages for this time of year. The situation leaves the market exposed to additional risks in the coming months, including potential summer heat waves that could drive up demand and intensified competition from Asian buyers for LNG.

Commodities

Market Chatter: Portugal Mulls Windfall Tax on Energy Firms as Iran Conflict Drives Up Bills

Portugal will move forward with a proposal to impose a windfall tax on energy companies to mitigate the impact of surging costs for consumers and businesses following the outbreak of war in Iran, Bloomberg reported Tuesday, citing the country's finance minister.Joaquim Miranda Sarmento said the proposed levy on energy profits would be modeled after measures implemented during the 2022 energy crisis."We will take the measures adopted in 2022, fine-tune and improve them, and in the near term, present a proposal to parliament," Sarmento reportedly said.Portugal's Ministry of Finance did not immediately respond to' request for a comment.Portugal is among a group of EU countries, including Germany and Spain, that called for a windfall levy on energy companies' profits in a letter to the European Commission last month.Sarmento said the signatories intend to coordinate their policy responses and invite other member states to join the initiative."We will take the measures adopted in 2022, fine-tune and improve them and - in the near term - present a proposal to parliament," he said.Though the Commission has signaled it will leave the final decision on such measures to individual member states, Portugal and its allies are seeking a framework that aligns national strategies across the bloc.Global energy prices have soared to record highs as the ongoing Middle East crisis has brought shipping via the Strait of Hormuz to a near-standstill, severing critical supply lines for oil and liquefied natural gas.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)