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蒙特利尔银行表示,加拿大经济持续“坚守”,央行或将维持不变。

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-- 蒙特利尔银行(BMO)在周四公布数据后表示,加拿大经济延续了年初的良好开局,2月份国内生产总值(GDP)环比增长0.2%,符合预期。 制造业、运输/仓储业和批发贸易表现强劲,环比增长0.9%。然而,该行指出,20个行业中只有8个行业在当月实现增长,这表明尽管整体数据表现良好,但加拿大经济仍在苦苦挣扎。 3月份GDP初值显示,当月经济活动与上月持平,但第一季度GDP初值年化增长率为1.7%,略高于BMO和加拿大央行1.5%的预期。 “不幸的是”,3月份的平稳增长为第二季度的过渡带来了更大的挑战,因此,除非加拿大在4月份取得强劲增长,否则BMO预计GDP增速将有所放缓。 该行补充说,尽管贸易不确定性的阴云持续笼罩,但加拿大经济仍在“勉强支撑”。加拿大现在还面临着能源价格上涨带来的额外冲击。 加拿大统计局指出,3月份零售活动受到拖累,因此似乎已出现一些早期影响。 总而言之,根据蒙特利尔银行(BMO)的说法,这些因素不会对加拿大央行产生重大影响,经济增长基本符合预期。政策制定者正在密切关注能源价格及其对核心通胀的潜在传导效应。

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