-- 受中东冲突导致基本商品价格(尤其是原油价格)大幅上涨的影响,菲律宾4月份通胀率创下三年来最快增速。 菲律宾统计局周二公布的数据显示,4月份消费者价格指数(CPI)同比上涨7.2%。3月份CPI上涨4.1%,预计4月份将上涨1.4%。 目前的CPI涨幅高于彭博社调查的分析师和菲律宾中央银行(Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas)此前预测的5.6%至6.4%。荷兰国际集团(ING)此前预测的5%涨幅与实际数据相差甚远。 通胀飙升的原因主要归因于中东冲突导致油价飙升,以及食品、能源和交通运输价格上涨。 菲律宾统计局(PSA)表示,交通运输指数从3月份的9.9%跃升21.4%,而公用事业、住房和其他燃料价格环比上涨,从4.7%升至8.2%。食品和非酒精饮料价格上涨6%,从2.9%升至8.2%。 据菲律宾通讯社报道,经济、规划和发展部部长阿塞尼奥·巴利萨坎表示,在伊朗战争期间,能源部正在寻找替代能源,以确保燃料供应稳定。 巴利萨坎说:“由于中东冲突扰乱了燃料供应链,政府正在加大力度采取有针对性的干预措施,特别是缓解食品、能源和交通运输价格上涨的压力,同时确保国内供应的持续稳定。” 分析人士预计,菲律宾央行将提高关键利率以应对高通胀。4月份,基准利率上调了0.25个百分点至4.5%。 菲律宾群岛银行经济学家埃米利奥·内里 (Emilio Neri Jr.) 表示,央行可能会将利率上调超过通常的 25 个基点。与此同时,据彭博新闻社报道,黎刹商业银行首席经济学家迈克尔·里卡福特 (Michael Ricafort) 表示,央行可能被迫将利率上调 50 个基点。 报道称,央行将于 6 月召开会议。
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