-- 根據英國國家天然氣公司(National Gas)週二發布的《2026年夏季展望》,儘管人們日益擔憂國內產量下降和中東局勢動盪,但預計英國今年夏季的天然氣和電力供應將十分充足。 該展望指出,2026年夏季的天然氣需求將與2025年持平,燃氣發電量下降6%將被居民和商業用氣量增加2%所抵銷。 預計天然氣總供應量約253億立方米,超過先前預測的212億立方公尺。其中,來自挪威和英國大陸架的天然氣供應量將佔總量的86%,儘管預計英國大陸架的天然氣產量將比去年下降6%。 剩餘的供應量預計將來自液化天然氣進口和英國靈活的天然氣儲存系統,分別佔總量的9%(27億立方公尺)和5%(15億立方公尺)。 報告指出,儘管夏季對天然氣發電的需求有所下降,但在此期間電力波動性卻有所增加,這歸因於天然氣發電在「平衡受天氣影響的可再生能源發電量和電力需求波動」方面發揮的作用日益增強。 英國國家天然氣公司能源系統與韌性總監格倫·布林-雅各布森在展望報告中表示,儘管中東地區的動盪局勢令人擔憂,但該公司的預測表明,「市場有能力提供充足的電力供應,以滿足今夏的需求」。
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