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英国株は地方選挙開始で下落、JDスポーツは好調

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-- ロンドンのFTSE100指数は、英国で地方選挙が始まったことを受け、木曜日に1.43%下落して取引を終えた。 ダンスケ銀行は、与党労働党が「大きな後退」を喫する可能性が高まり、キア・スターマー首相の辞任圧力が高まる可能性があるとの見方から、市場心理が悪化したと指摘した。 ベレンベルグ銀行は、「労働党の草の根党員が次期党首を選出し、その党首が自動的に首相に就任する」と述べた。「したがって、キア・スターマー氏の後任は経済政策においてより左派寄りの立場を取る可能性が高い。これは、企業コストのさらなる上昇、あるいは財政政策の緩和のリスクを高め、いずれも我々の予測における利下げとそれに伴うGDP成長率の回復を損なう可能性がある」。 英国の建設業界全体では、投入コストのインフレ上昇に伴い、住宅建設と土木工事の活動水準が引き続き低下したため、4月の景気低迷はさらに悪化した。 S&Pグローバル英国建設業PMIは39.7となり、前月の45.6、Investing.comの市場予想45.8を下回りました。 企業ニュースでは、エネルギー・サービス企業のセントリカ(CNA.L)が5.32%下落し、FTSE100構成銘柄の中で2番目に大きな下落率を記録しました。これは、温暖な気候、商品価格の変動、住宅向けエネルギー関連不良債権回収の継続的な課題の影響を理由に、2026年度の小売業EBITDA見通しをレンジの下限に引き下げたことによるものです。 一方、JDスポーツ・ファッション(JD.L)は8.62%上昇し、優良株指数を牽引しました。これは、2026年度の帰属利益が減少する一方で、売上高が前年比で増加する見込みであることから、期末配当の引き上げを推奨したことによるものです。 「JD Sportsは2026年度の業績で賛否両論を巻き起こした。2026年度の税引前利益はガイダンス通りだったものの、第1四半期の既存店売上高は前期比で2.3%減と減速し、2027年度の税引前利益ガイダンスは中間値で市場予想を約4%下回った。しかし、2026年度のフリーキャッシュフローは予想を上回り、配当金の増加と2億ポンドの自社株買いという新たな資本還元策が組み合わさった。これは歓迎すべき結果だ」とDeutsche Numis Researchは述べている。「2027~2029年度の3年間のフリーキャッシュフローガイダンスは少なくとも14億ポンドであり、これは安心材料となるだろう。このガイダンスは主に設備投資の規律と運転資本の改善によって実現される」

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