-- 根据英国国家天然气公司(National Gas)周二发布的《2026年夏季展望》,尽管人们日益担忧国内产量下降和中东局势动荡,但预计英国今年夏季的天然气和电力供应将十分充足。 该展望指出,2026年夏季的天然气需求将与2025年持平,燃气发电量下降6%将被居民和商业用气量增长2%所抵消。 预计天然气总供应量约为253亿立方米,超过此前预测的212亿立方米。其中,来自挪威和英国大陆架的天然气供应量将占总量的86%,尽管预计英国大陆架的天然气产量将比上年下降6%。 剩余的供应量预计将来自液化天然气进口和英国灵活的天然气储存系统,分别占总量的9%(27亿立方米)和5%(15亿立方米)。 报告指出,尽管夏季对天然气发电的需求有所下降,但在此期间电力波动性却有所增加,这归因于天然气发电在“平衡受天气影响的可再生能源发电量和电力需求波动”方面发挥的作用日益增强。 英国国家天然气公司能源系统与韧性总监格伦·布林-雅各布森在展望报告中表示,尽管中东地区的动荡局势令人担忧,但该公司的预测表明,“市场有能力提供充足的电力供应,以满足今夏的需求”。
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