-- 英国株式市場は、国内経済ニュースが静かな一日だったことと、週末に予定されている米イラン和平協議を背景に、FTSE100指数が金曜終値で0.03%安と、ほぼ横ばいで週を終えた。 「米国とイランが2週間の停戦を発表したことで、金融市場は今週安堵のため息をついた。しかし、停戦は脆弱に見え、ホルムズ海峡は依然として事実上閉鎖されているため、4月13日に発表する世界経済予測の更新において、英国の成長率とインフレ率の予測に大きな変更を加える予定はない」と、オックスフォード・エコノミクスはレポートで述べた。 「停戦によって、より深刻な事態に発展する可能性は低くなった。しかし、たとえ完全な停戦が合意されたとしても、エネルギー生産と船舶交通が通常の水準に戻るには時間がかかるだろう」と、同調査会社は付け加えた。 「現在の基本シナリオでは、ホルムズ海峡は4月末まで事実上閉鎖されたままで、5月と6月には交通量が約50%まで回復し、その後6ヶ月かけて徐々に正常に戻ると想定しています。」 オックスフォード・エコノミクスは現在、英国の国内総生産(GDP)成長率を2026年に0.4%、2027年に0.9%と予測しており、インフレ率は2026年第4四半期に4.5%に達すると予測しています。 企業ニュースでは、キングフィッシャー(KGF.L)が、最大3億ポンド相当の自社株買いプログラムの第一弾を開始したことを受け、主要株価指数構成銘柄の中で上昇率上位銘柄の一つとなり、終値は2.70%高となりました。英国の住宅リフォーム会社である同社は、第一弾で最大7500万ポンド相当の自社株を買い戻し、これを消却することで資本金を削減します。 一方、家電量販店のAOワールド(AO.L)は、3月31日までの12ヶ月間の税引前調整利益が、ガイダンスレンジである4500万ポンドから5000万ポンドの上限に達すると予想しており、グループ全体の売上高は11%増加すると見込んでいる。同社の株価は取引終了時点で6.98%上昇した。
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