-- 聯合國開發計畫署週二發布的最新評估報告顯示,中東持續不斷的軍事衝突可能對亞太地區造成高達2,990億美元的經濟損失,因為燃料、貨運和投入成本的上漲將波及整個區域經濟。 報告指出,這次衝擊正在削弱家庭購買力,加劇糧食不安全,使公共預算捉襟見肘,並損害民眾生計,尤其是在那些嚴重依賴進口能源和食品的國家,以及那些受海灣貿易路線、勞動力市場和匯款流動影響的國家。 報告估計,在持續28天的衝突情境下,區域產出損失可能在970億美元至2,990億美元之間,相當於國內生產毛額的0.3%至0.8%,其中南亞受到的影響最為顯著。 模擬結果顯示,14個國家的約880萬人可能陷入貧困,其中包括伊朗的500多萬人,伊朗的貧困率可能從36%上升至41.5%。 這份截至4月9日編寫的報告,匯集了聯合國開發計畫署22個國家辦事處(涵蓋36個國家)提供的信息,並結合了模型分析和外部數據。報告指出,結果將很大程度上取決於衝突的持續時間和強度,如果衝突持續,風險將進一步上升。
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