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美联储褐皮书显示,尽管中东局势紧张,经济活动仍保持增长。

-- 美国央行周三发布的最新褐皮书显示,尽管中东战事持续,但大多数联邦储备区自3月初以来经济活动均有所增长。 这份由纽约联储根据截至4月6日收集的数据编制的最新报告指出,八个联邦储备区的经济活动出现小幅至中度增长,而其余四个地区的经济活动几乎没有变化或出现下滑。 此前于3月4日发布的褐皮书显示,大多数联邦储备区自1月中旬以来经济均有所增长,整体经济前景“乐观”。该报告的数据收集于2月底美以与伊朗爆发战争之前。 最新报告周三指出,“中东冲突被认为是造成不确定性的主要来源,使企业在招聘、定价和资本投资方面的决策变得复杂,许多企业采取了观望态度。” 有报道称,在美伊两周停火协议到期前,华盛顿和德黑兰可能会重返巴基斯坦举行第二轮会谈。在伊斯兰堡举行的首轮和平谈判无果而终。 美联储表示,尽管部分地区遭遇严寒冬季,燃油价格上涨,但消费者支出仍小幅增长。 “许多地区持续出现消费者财务紧张、价格敏感度上升以及食品银行和其他社会服务机构需求增加的迹象,而高收入消费者的支出则保持韧性,”美联储发布的褐皮书显示。 农业部门的活动喜忧参半,农作物价格上涨抵消了化肥和燃油成本的飙升。 据美国农场局联合会称,由于霍尔木兹海峡实际关闭导致供应中断,美国农民面临化肥价格上涨的压力。 美联储发布的褐皮书显示,尽管所有地区都报告称,由于中东冲突,能源和燃油成本大幅上涨,但绝大多数地区的价格总体上涨幅温和。美国劳工统计局周五公布的数据显示,3月份美国消费者通胀率加速至近四年来的最高月度水平。 美联储文件显示,就业形势稳定或略有增长,仅有一个地区报告略有下降。文件还显示,在劳动力市场方面,由于人员流动率低、裁员人数极少,大多数地区的劳动力需求保持稳定。 美联储褐皮书指出,“由于对未来形势普遍存在不确定性,企业前景不一。” 上周公布的美联储3月17日至18日政策会议纪要显示,鉴于伊朗战争加剧了通胀和就业风险,美联储应“灵活”调整货币政策。

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