-- 三位美联储官员周五表示,他们此前希望修改4月份货币政策声明的措辞,但通胀和就业风险并不足以构成加入所谓“宽松倾向”的理由。 联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)周三维持基准贷款利率不变,称中东冲突加剧了美国经济前景的不确定性。 FOMC周三表示:“在考虑进一步调整联邦基金利率目标区间的幅度和时机时,委员会将仔细评估最新数据、不断变化的经济前景以及风险平衡。” 这段措辞被广泛解读为暗示未来可能降息。 克利夫兰地区总裁贝丝·哈马克、明尼阿波利斯地区总裁尼尔·卡什卡里和达拉斯地区总裁洛里·洛根支持这一政策决定,但反对在声明中加入“宽松倾向”。美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰则赞成降息。斯蒂费尔金融公司周四表示,反对降息的比例达到了1992年以来的最高水平。 哈马克在一份声明中表示,鉴于“经济前景的不确定性加剧,通胀面临上行风险,经济增长和就业面临下行风险”,宽松政策倾向已不再适用。 卡什卡里则表示,金融市场似乎预期霍尔木兹海峡将“很快”重新开放。他指出,即使在这种情况下,预测机构预计今年核心个人消费支出通胀率将达到3%,而1月份的预期为2.7%。 卡什卡里表示,这将对消费者支出构成下行压力,并可能对美国劳动力市场造成压力。 卡什卡里还表示,霍尔木兹海峡的长期关闭可能会引发更大的价格冲击,推高美国的通胀和失业率。 卡什卡利表示:“鉴于冲突走向及其对通胀、就业和经济增长的影响尚不明朗,我认为联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)应发布政策展望,表明下一次利率调整可能是降息也可能是加息,具体取决于经济的发展情况。” 洛根表示,她“越来越担心”通胀需要多长时间才能达到官方设定的2%目标。洛根说:“中东冲突增加了供应中断长期或反复出现的可能性,这可能会进一步加剧通胀压力。” 她补充说,劳动力市场一直保持稳定,但可能会受到多种因素的影响而走强或走弱。 她说:“鉴于货币政策面临双重风险,我认为FOMC目前不应发布暗示倾向于降息的前瞻性指引。”
Related Articles
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Buy Opinion On Shares Of Cms Energy Corporation
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our 12-month target by $1 to $87, 22.0x our next-12-month EPS estimate, above peers and CMS's three-year historical average of 18.4x. We trim both our 2026 and 2027 EPS views by $0.02 to $3.88 and $4.17, respectively. CMS posted Q1 adjusted EPS growth of 10.8%. CMS announced that two hyperscaler data centers had reached commercial agreement on contract terms and signed 110 MW of new load in Q1 alone (exceeding all of 2025's signings), with expected load coming online starting in 2028, all incremental to the current plan. Each 1 GW of new load provides $2B-$5B in capital investment opportunities while reducing average customer rate growth by ~2%. We think CMS offers competitive near-term EPS (~7.6% 2025-2028 CAGR) and dividend growth trajectories (~5.8%). In our view, Michigan is one of the most supportive regulatory districts in the country, with CMS's most recent electric rate case outcome highlighting regulatory willingness to support prudent investments through multiple recovery mechanisms.
Market Chatter: SoftBank-Backed Opay Taps Citi, Deutsche, JPMorgan for US IPO
Opay Digital Services has hired Citigroup (C), Deutsche Bank (DB), and JPMorgan (JPM) as the Nigerian payments platform prepares for an initial public offering in the US, Bloomberg reported Friday, citing people familiar with the matter.The SoftBank-backed company is seeking a valuation of $4 billion in its debut and may sell the shares later this year, the people reportedly said.Citigroup declined to comment to. Deutsche and JPMorgan did not immediately respond, while Opay was unreachable.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)Price: $127.59, Change: $-0.39, Percent Change: -0.30%
Life Time Set for Strong Q1 Comparable Club Growth, UBS Says
Life Time (LTH) is expected to post robust comparable club growth in Q1, with slightly better-than-expected revenue and EBITDA, as investors focus on concerns around member growth metrics per center and spending trends in a softer macro environment, UBS Securities said Friday.Ahead of the company's Q1 results on Tuesday, the investment firm said it sees upside to its Q1 EBITDA estimate of $215 million and expects comparable club revenue growth of about 7% to 7.5%.UBS said the key investor debate centers on whether the company can sustain growth in revenue per member and overall club economics amid pressure on consumer spending.The brokerage also noted that Life Time could continue repurchasing stock from sponsors, helping reduce overhang, while keeping leverage below its 2x target.UBS has a buy rating on the stock, with a price target of $43.Price: $26.68, Change: $-0.13, Percent Change: -0.50%