-- 週五,美國股市收盤漲跌互現,市場關注伊朗和平談判的進展,同時3月通膨率飆升三倍,推高了政府公債殖利率。 那斯達克指數上漲0.4%,收22,902.89點;標普500指數下跌0.1%,收在6,816.89點;道瓊工業指數下跌0.6%,收在47,916.57點。除科技、材料、可選消費和房地產板塊外,所有板塊均下跌。必需消費品、醫療保健和金融板塊領跌。 根據美國有線電視新聞網(CNN)報道,美國總統川普表示,如果本週末在巴基斯坦斡旋下於伊斯蘭堡舉行的談判未能達成和平協議,美國準備恢復並加強對伊朗的打擊。美國勞工統計局的數據顯示,中東戰爭導緻美國3月通膨率飆升三倍,汽油價格也大幅上漲。 據報道,伊朗議會議長穆罕默德·巴格爾·加利巴夫表示,除非美國滿足兩個條件,否則談判無法啟動:黎巴嫩停火和解凍被凍結的伊朗資產。一位以色列官員和一位知情人士告訴美國有線電視新聞網(CNN),以色列、黎巴嫩和美國的大使將於週五在華盛頓特區舉行會談,為以色列和黎巴嫩未來的談判奠定基礎。 根據《華爾街日報》報道,美國副總統約翰·迪安·萬斯在啟程前往參加美伊會談時表示,華盛頓“願意在本週末伸出橄欖枝”,但警告德黑蘭不要“試圖耍我們”。 西德州中質原油期貨下跌1.8%,至每桶96.14美元;布蘭特原油期貨下跌1.7%,至每桶94.34美元。 經濟方面,由於中東衝突導致能源價格大幅上漲,美國3月消費者通膨率飆升至近四年來的最高月度水準。 美國勞工統計局週五公佈的數據顯示,3月消費者物價指數(CPI)上漲0.9%,創下自2022年6月以來的最大漲幅。這項最新數據與彭博社民調的普遍預期相符。 2月份CPI上漲0.3%。年比來看,3月CPI從2月的2.4%升至3.3%,低於華爾街先前預測的3.4%。 官方數據顯示,3月能源價格較上季飆漲約11%,其中汽油價格漲幅高達21%,幾乎佔整體漲幅的四分之三。 牛津經濟研究院首席美國經濟學家伯納德·亞羅斯在發給的電子郵件中表示:“美以伊戰爭的影響在3月份的CPI中顯而易見。” 美國公債殖利率上升,10年期公債殖利率上漲2.6個基點至4.32%,2年期公債殖利率上漲2.1個基點至3.80%。 密西根大學4月消費者信心指數初值從3月的53.3降至47.6,低於彭博社總調查的預期值51.5。 受訪者對一年期通膨預期從3月的3.8%上升至4.8%,且對五年期通膨預期從3.2%上升至3.4%。 根據芝商所(CME)的FedWatch工具顯示,從4月到12月,聯準會在每次利率會議上維持利率在3.5%至3.75%區間不變的機率均有所上升。 貴金屬方面,黃金期貨下跌0.7%至每盎司4,785.6美元,白銀期貨小幅上漲0.2%至每盎司76.56美元。
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