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美國石油市場動態:受美伊談判重啟希望提振,油價維持穩定

-- 週三,原油期貨價格相對穩定,交易員的關注點從對封鎖的擔憂轉向了可能在伊斯蘭堡舉行的第二輪美伊和談。 近月西德州中質原油期貨合約價格穩定在每桶91.32美元。布蘭特原油期貨合約上漲0.4%,至每桶95.20美元。 美國總統川普在Truth Social網站上發布了一系列帖子,聲稱北京已同意停止向伊朗運送武器,以換取海上穩定,這提振了市場樂觀情緒。 「中國非常高興我永久開放了霍爾木茲海峽,」美國總統川普發文表示。 分析人士表示,有報導稱伊朗可能暫停向伊朗運送武器以避免海上衝突,這可能為在停火期限到期前重啟談判鋪平道路,這進一步提振了市場情緒。 盛寶銀行分析師表示:“由於美伊談判出現新的進展跡象,市場樂觀情緒升溫,布蘭特原油價格跌破每桶100美元,WTI原油價格下跌近7%。川普總統表示,談判可能在未來兩天內恢復。” 澳新銀行分析師指出,能源市場在經歷了一段波動期後已出現企穩跡象,有關美伊第二輪和平談判的報道有助於抑制早前的市場飆升。 摩根大通分析師表示:“宏觀方面,我們的經濟學家指出,脆弱的停火協議使前景保持在可控的逆風範圍內,但由於通膨飆升,各國央行預計將耐心評估通膨傳導風險,因此仍存在脆弱性。”

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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

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Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled

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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.

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