-- 週五盤後交易中,原油期貨價格走勢分化,因為市場預期美國和伊朗將在巴基斯坦舉行間接會談,為恢復霍爾木茲海峽的能源運輸鋪路。 近月西德州中質原油期貨下跌1.01%,至每桶94.88美元,布蘭特原油期貨上漲0.81%,至每桶105.92美元。 大宗商品分析師奧勒·R·赫瓦爾比表示:「現貨原油和成品油價格從4月初的高點回落,這主要是由於輸油管道改道和市場對達成協議的樂觀情緒。」他還補充說,4月初的產量比戰前供應量減少了1450萬桶/日。 據報道,美國特使史蒂夫·威特科夫和賈里德·庫什納將於週六上午前往巴基斯坦,與伊朗代表團進行直接會談。此前,德黑蘭方面對結束中東衝突的談判前景持悲觀態度。 伊朗外交部長阿巴斯·阿拉格奇週五抵達巴基斯坦,但德黑蘭方面尚未公開同意與川普的代表會面。根據媒體報道,阿拉格奇計劃在巴基斯坦期間就美國提出的和平協議方案提交一份新的書面回應。 阿拉格奇在社交媒體上發文稱:“我正按計劃訪問伊斯蘭堡、馬斯喀特和莫斯科。此行的目的是與我們的伙伴密切協調雙邊事務,並就地區局勢發展進行磋商。” 同時,美國週五對一家中國煉油廠以及數十家運輸伊朗石油的航運公司和船隻實施制裁。在霍爾木茲海峽封鎖期間,川普政府加大了對德黑蘭的經濟壓力。 美國財政部外國資產管制辦公室表示,已對恆力石化煉油廠實施制裁。恆力石化煉油廠是中國規模較小的「茶壺煉油廠」之一,財政部稱其為「德黑蘭最重要的客戶之一」。 美國財政部外國資產管制辦公室(OFAC)也宣布對約40家參與伊朗石油「影子船隊」運輸的航運公司和油輪實施制裁。 在最新的外交進展和製裁措施出台之際,美國加大了對伊朗的壓力,實施海上封鎖以切斷伊朗的石油收入,華盛頓試圖以此迫使德黑蘭同意進行談判,結束衝突。 盛寶銀行策略師表示,霍爾木茲海峽的交通中斷可能會進一步延遲阿拉伯灣的原油和燃料運輸。 MarineTraffic表示,霍爾木茲海峽的航運仍受限,4月23日僅記錄到8次通行,與當日持平,遠低於正常水準。 這家船舶追蹤數據公司表示,雖然自4月22日以來沒有發生新的襲擊事件,但由於伊朗的威脅、美國的攔截以及持續存在的水雷隱患,仍在波斯灣的702艘船隻的風險仍然很高。
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