-- 週三午盤交易中,原油期貨價格上漲,此前美國汽油和餾分油庫存降幅超出預期,同時霍爾木茲海峽至少三艘貨櫃船遭到槍擊的報道也進一步支撐了油價。 近月西德州中質原油期貨上漲3.84%,至每桶93.11美元;布蘭特原油期貨上漲3.39%,至每桶101.14美元。 三菱日聯金融集團(MUFG)研究分析師金秀珍(Soojin Kim)表示,由於包括核問題和地區衝突在內的關鍵爭端尚未解決,石油市場仍然高度關注地緣政治發展,持續的供應中斷支撐了油價。 美國能源資訊署(EIA)最新數據顯示,截至4月17日當週,原油庫存增加,而汽油和餾分油庫存意外下降。 EIA表示,原油庫存增加190萬桶,至4.657億桶;美國汽油庫存減少460萬桶,至2.284億桶;餾分油庫存減少340萬桶,至1.081億桶。 週三,伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊稱,其海軍攔截了兩艘試圖穿越霍爾木茲海峽的船隻,並引導它們進入伊朗領海。 MarineTraffic網站稱,這兩艘船均由MSC公司營運。 英國海事貿易行動組織(UK Maritime Trade Operations)表示,至少有三艘船在霍爾木茲海峽遭槍擊。同時,伊朗革命衛隊警告稱,任何擾亂這一戰略水道秩序和安全的行為都將被視為「紅線」。 盛寶銀行策略師表示,由於供應損失目前已基本鎖定,如果解決方案遲遲未能出台,市場將面臨越來越大的壓力。一些策略師警告稱,霍爾木茲海峽的通行可能無法完全恢復正常。 週二,川普在社交媒體上發文稱,如果美國解除封鎖開放海峽,“除非我們炸毀伊朗的其餘部分,包括他們的領導人,否則永遠不可能與伊朗達成協議!” 川普在Truth Social網站上發文表示:“伊朗不想關閉霍爾木茲海峽,他們想讓它開放,這樣他們每天就能賺5億美元。” 同時,美國總統表示,停火協議將繼續有效,直到「嚴重分裂」的伊朗領導層能夠提出一項統一的永久解決方案。 伊朗官員指責美國違反了伊朗在脆弱的停火協議之初提出的十點框架下的承諾。伊朗外交部長阿巴斯·阿拉格奇稱美國封鎖伊朗港口是「戰爭行為」。 三菱日聯銀行(MUFG)研究分析師金秀珍表示,儘管軍事衝突暫時停止,但和平談判陷入僵局,雙方在航運通道和更廣泛的地緣政治問題上持續發生衝突,緊張局勢依然嚴峻。
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