-- 美國全國房地產經紀人協會(NAR)週一公佈的數據顯示,受就業成長放緩和消費者信心持續低迷的影響,3月美國成屋銷售量下降。 經季節性調整後,上月成屋銷售量較上月下降3.6%,年化率為398萬套。彭博社總結的一項調查顯示,市場普遍預期降幅為0.8%。所有地區的成屋銷售量均較上月下降。 NAR首席經濟學家勞倫斯·雲表示:“消費者信心下降和就業增長放緩繼續抑制購房意願。” 密西根大學週五公佈的初步調查顯示,本月美國消費者信心指數跌至歷史新低,反映出人們對價格上漲以及中東衝突帶來的整體經濟影響的擔憂加劇。 美國和伊朗週末在巴基斯坦舉行的談判未能達成協議,加劇了人們對雙方本已脆弱的停火協議能否持久的擔憂。 美國房地產經紀人協會(NAR)引述房地美(Freddie Mac)的數據稱,30年期固定利率抵押貸款的平均利率從2月份的6.05%上升至上月的6.18%。 牛津經濟研究院首席經濟學家南希·范登豪頓(Nancy Vanden Houten)在發給的電子郵件中表示:“我們預計未來幾個月房屋銷售不會有太大上漲空間。鑑於自伊朗戰爭爆發以來抵押貸款利率的持續走高,我們預計房屋銷售將橫盤整理,並在年底前開始逐步回升。” NAR數據顯示,3月獨棟住宅銷售量較上季下降3.5%至363萬套,公寓及合作公寓銷售量較上季下降5.4%至35萬套。 雲(Yun)表示:“庫存仍然是市場的主要限制因素。” “新增30萬至50萬套待售房屋將有助於市場恢復正常,並讓消費者在不感到倉促的情況下做出購買決定。” 報告顯示,現有房屋的銷售價格中位數年增1.4%,達到408,800美元,連續第33個月實現年度成長。 「3月份待售房屋供應量有所增加,但隨著春季房屋銷售旺季的到來,預計供應量還會繼續增長,」范登豪頓表示。 “較高的抵押貸款利率將使一些賣家持觀望態度,導致庫存相對緊張。”
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