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美國天然氣市場最新消息:受需求疲軟影響,期貨價格跌至17個月低點

-- 週二盤後交易中,受持續高於正常水平的氣溫預測影響,美國天然氣期貨價格連續第五個交易日下跌。 近月亨利樞紐天然氣期貨合約及連續基準天然氣期貨均下跌1.29%,至每百萬英熱單位2.593美元。 週二,歐洲天然氣價格也大幅下跌,跌幅超過8%,原因是需求疲軟以及市場預期與霍爾木茲海峽相關的供應中斷可能會緩解。 在美國,天氣仍然是主要驅動因素。近期預測顯示,美國大部分地區天氣溫和,使得市場對天然氣需求的預期較為低迷。 「國內市場的主要驅動因素仍然是近期氣溫的悲觀預期。由於預計4月底前天氣溫和,市場並不擔心會出現早期製冷需求激增的情況,而任何顯著的供暖負荷都已成過去,」《能源買家指南》指出。 “在市場觀察到天氣變化或基礎供應收緊產生切實影響之前,價格走勢可能仍將橫盤整理或下跌。” NatGasWeather.com週二表示,美國大部分地區氣溫將高於正常水平,包括南部和東海岸,而西部部分地區和北部各州氣溫仍將偏低。預計整體需求將在周六前保持低迷,週日至週二將回升至中等水平。 由於產量居高不下,預計疲軟的消費將導致庫存增加。據《華爾街日報》引述市場評論稱,在即將發布的EIA報告之後,庫存盈餘預計將擴大至約1500億立方英尺。 另根據Barchart引述彭博新能源財經(BNEF)的數據報道,週二美國天然氣需求為670億立方英尺/日,年減1.4%。天然氣產量為 1,108 億立方英尺/日,年增 2.2%;同時,天然氣淨流入液化天然氣出口終端的流量增至 197 億立方英尺/日,季增 3.7%。

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