-- 在週三午盤交易中,原油期貨價格基本上持穩,此前有報道稱,美國和伊朗正在考慮延長霍爾木茲海峽封鎖期間的停火協議。同時,美國原油庫存降幅超出預期,也進一步支撐了油價。 近月西德州中質原油期貨下跌0.58%,至每桶91.81美元;布蘭特原油期貨上漲0.90%,至每桶95.64美元。 美國能源資訊署(EIA)週三發布的周報顯示,截至4月10日當週,美國原油庫存減少90萬桶,至4.638億桶。 該機構也表示,汽油總庫存較上週減少630萬桶,至2.329億桶;餾分油庫存減少310萬桶,至1.116億桶。 據媒體報道,巴基斯坦陸軍參謀長阿西姆·穆尼爾週三抵達德黑蘭,旨在緩和中東緊張局勢並安排第二輪美伊和平談判。 據報道,雙方正在考慮將週二到期的停火協議再延長兩週,以便有更多時間進行和平談判。 據報道,川普總統週三表示,中東衝突“即將結束”,並指出與伊朗的談判可能“在未來兩天”在巴基斯坦伊斯蘭堡舉行。 SEB Research的大宗商品分析師奧勒·R·赫瓦爾比表示,市場將外交進展解讀為局勢實質緩和的訊號,自然導致原油期貨價格下跌。 同時,美國中央司令部表示,其對霍爾木茲海峽的封鎖現已全面生效,「徹底」切斷了德黑蘭的國際海上貿易,而海上貿易約佔伊朗經濟的90%。 盛寶銀行策略師表示,交易員們正著眼於超越史上最嚴重的供應中斷,包括美國對霍爾木茲海峽的封鎖——封鎖已阻止伊朗出口產品進入市場。 據媒體報道,受美國制裁的中國油輪「Rich Starry」號在周三駛離阿拉伯灣後,於週三返回霍爾木茲海峽。 同時,MarineTraffic週四表示,懸掛馬耳他國旗的原油油輪「Agios Fanourios I」號成為自美國封鎖生效以來首艘通過霍爾木茲海峽的原油運輸船。 Hvalbye表示,SEB的基本預測假設霍爾木茲海峽“在5月中旬全面重新開放之前,其運行能力僅為正常水平的20%,並且波斯灣地區不會再有其他大型石油或天然氣基礎設施遭到破壞。”
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